Koleman Strumpf's Published Papers

The Effect of File Sharing on Record Sales: An Empirical Analysis (with F. Oberholzer). Journal of Political Economy. 2007. 115(1):1-42.

• Earlier drafts: March 2004, June 2005
• Media:
  • New York Times (5 April 2004)
  • ABC Nightline appearance (24 September 2004)
  • Le Show (4 April 2004). As close to a Simpsons reference as I will ever get.
• Supreme Court amicus brief: Supporting respondents in MGM v. Grokster

Consumer Demand under Price Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from the Market for Cigarettes (with M. Coppejans, D. Gilleskie, H. Sieg). Review of Economics and Statistics. 2007. 89(3): 510-521.

Earlier draft with additional details: NBER Working Paper No. 12156

The Behavioral Dynamics of Youth Smoking (with D. Gilleskie). Journal of Human Resources. 2005. 40(4): 822-866.

• Older version: NBER WP #7838.
• Cited in: Business Week (4 September 2000).

Decentralization and Government Provision of Public Goods: The Public Health Sector in Uganda (with J. Akin and P. Hutchinson). Journal of Development Studies. 2005. 41(8): 1417-1443.

Historical Presidential Betting Markets (with P. Rhode). Journal of Economic Perspectives. 2004 (Spring). 18(2): 127-142.

• Longer version: Historical Prediction Markets: Wagering on Presidential Elections.
• Cited in:
  • Science (Vol 305, Issue 5684, 603, 30 July 2004)
  • Science News (Vol 164, No. 16, 251, 18 October 2003). Based on related work.

Assessing the Importance of Tiebout Sorting: Local Heterogeneity from 1850 to 1990 (with P. Rhode). American Economic Review. 2003. 93: 1648-1677.

• A Historical Test of the Tiebout Hypothesis: Local Heterogeneity from 1850 to 1990 (NBER WP #7946): older version with more details on the county data.
• Data Appendix.
• Replication file for the empirical results.

Endogenous Policy Decentralization: Testing the Central Tenet of Economic Federalism (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). Journal of Political Economy. 2002. 110: 1-36.

Data sources for this paper are contained in the following book chapter:
Local Liquor Control from 1934 to 1970 (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). In Public Choice Interpretations of American Economic History (ed. Heckelman, Moorhouse, Whaples), 1999.

Does Government Decentralization Increase Policy Innovation? Journal of Public Economic Theory. 2002. 4: 207-241.

Strategic Competition in Sequential Election Contests. Public Choice. 2002. 111: 377-397.

Government Credibility and Policy Choice: Evidence from the Pennsylvania Earned Income Tax. Journal of Public Economics. 2001. 80: 141-167.

Infrequent Assessments Distort Property Taxes: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Urban Economics. 1999. 46: 169-199.

Estimating Presidential Elections: The Importance of State Fixed Effects and the Role of National versus Local Information (with J. Phillippe). Economics & Politics. 1999. 11: 33-50.

A Predictive Index for the Flypaper Effect. Journal of Public Economics. 1998. 69: 389-412.

Essays in political economy. Dissertation, MIT, 1995.

Note: Link to MIT thesis site.