Quantitative Methods in Finance

Instructor: Eric Ghysels

Meets McColl Buidling Room 3050 Fridays 9:00 - noon

Course Description

This course is intended for PhD students in finance and related fields. It is designed to teach students how to conduct empirical research in asset pricing. The goal is that students become familiar with the issues at stake in empirical asset pricing, the methodologies used, the classic papers as well as the recent contributions, and be able to analyze and evaluate new research effectively. Finally, students are expected to acquire the skills to conduct and present original empirical research in finance.

Material from two texbooks will be used thoughout the course:

[CLM} John Y. Campbell, Andrew W. Lo and A. Craig MacKinlay, The Econometrics of Financial Markets, Princeton University Press, 1997.

[AP} John Cochrane, Asset Pricing, Princeton University Press, 2001.

[S] Kenneth J. Singleton, Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing: Model Specification and Econometric Assessment, Princeton University Press, 2006.


In addition to the textbooks we will also assign journal articles (most downloadable from JSTOR and/or UNC e-journal links).

Prerequisites

Prerequisites are: Econ 770, 771 and Busi 880. This means students must have basic knowledge of financial economics and econometrics at the level of first year PhD courses. Knowledge of the material in Econ 871 (Time Series) is beneficial.

Grading


Students taking the course for credit will be required to write reports and present papers, accounting for 60% of the grade and take the final exam counting for the remaining 40%.
This is a very demanding course, irrespective of whether you are registered or just auditing. The average student can expect to spend at least 20 hours per week outside of class with assigned readings, reviewing lectures, etc. The following papers will be covered in addition to the textbook material

Campbell, J., and R. Shiller, 1988, The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future

    Dividends and Discount Factors, Review of Financial Studies 1, 195-228.

Campbell, J., and R. Shiller, 1987, Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models, Journal

    of Political Economy 95, 1062-1087.

Cochrane John, "Explaining the Variance of Price-Dividend Ratios". Review of Financial

    Studies 5:2, (June 1992) 243-280.

Hodrick, R., 1992, Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for

    Inference and Measurement, Review of Financial Studies 5, 357- 386.

Stambaugh, Robert F., 1999, \Predictive Regressions", Journal of Financial Economics, 54,

    375{421.

Ang A. and Bekaert G. \Is Predictability there?", working paper, GSB, Columbia University.

Fama, E., and K. French, 1988a, Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices,

    Journal of Political Economy, 96, 246-273.

Lustig Hanno and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. The Returns on Human Capital: Good News

    on Wall Street is Bad News on Main Street. Working Paper, NYU and UCLA.

Lettau, M, and S. Ludvigson, 2001, Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock

    Returns, Journal of Finance 56, 815 - 850.

Lewellen, Jonathan W., 2004, Predicting Returns with Financial Ratios, Journal of Financial

    Economics, 74 (2), 209-235.

Bollerslev, T., 1986, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Journal of

    Econometrics 31, 307-327.

Bollerslev, T., R. Chou, and K. Kroner, 1992, ARCH Modeling in Finance: A Review of the

    Theory and Empirical Evidence, Journal of Econometrics 52, 5-59.

Engle, R., 1982, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the Variance

    of U.K. In0ation, Econometrica 50, 987-1008.

Engle, R., V. Ng, and M. Rothschild, 1990, Asset Pricing with a Factor- ARCH Covariance

    Structure: Empirical Estimates for Treasury Bills, Journal of Econometrics 45, 213-237.

Nelson, D., 1991, Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach,

    Econometrica 59, 347-370.

Schwert, G.W., 1989, Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?, Journal of

    Finance 44, 1115-1153.

Bollerslev, T., R. Engle, and J. Wooldridge, 1988, A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time

    Varying Covariance, Journal of Political Economy 96,116-131.

French, K., W. Schwert and R. Stambaugh, 1987, Expected Stock Returns and Volatility,

    Journal of Financial Economics 19, 3-30.

Whitelaw, R., 1994, Time Variations and Covariations in the Expectation and Volatility of

    Stock Market Returns, Journal of Finance 49, 515-541.

Campbell J. and Hentchell L. 1992, No News is Good News: A Asymmetric changing

    Volatility in Stock Returns, Journal of Financial Economics 31, 281-318.

Harvey, C., 1989, Time Varying Conditional Covariance in Tests of Asset Pricing Models,

    Journal of Financial Economics 24, 289-317.

Jagannathan, R., and Z.Wang, 1996, The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of

    Expected Returns, Journal of Finance 51, 3-53.


Under construction