Welcome to the Home Page for
Comparing Three Modern Approaches to Longitudinal Data Analysis:
An Examination of a Single Developmental Sample
A Symposium presented at the 1997 Biennial Meeting of
the
Society for Research in Child Development, Washington,
D.C.
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Chair: Patrick
J. Curran, University of North Carolina,Chapel Hill
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Participants: Mark
Appelbaum, University California, San Diego
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Patrick J. Curran, Duke University
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John J. McArdle,
University of Virginia
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Stephen W. Raudenbush, Michigan State University
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Michael H. Seltzer,
University of California, Los Angeles
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Discussant: C.
Hendricks Brown, University of South Florida
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This is the home page for the 1997 SRCD symposium
that focused on modern approaches to longitudinal data analysis. The goal
of this symposium was to compare and contrast three recently developed
methods for analyzing developmental change over time. A single developmental
data set was provided to all of the symposium participants with the instructions
to analyze the data in any way they wished using a data analytic approach
of their own choosing. The three analytical approaches that were selected
were latent growth modeling (by Jack McArdle), hierarchical linear modeling
(by Mike Seltzer and Steve Raudenbush), and exploratory data analysis (by
Mark Appelbaum). Patrick Curran organized the symposium, created the data
set and wrote the documentation, and Hendricks Brown was the discussant.
The general topical area of interest was the development
of aggressive behavior and reading ability in children over time, and the
relation between individual differences in development in these behaviors
and several time specific child and family characteristics. The participants
were provided a general introduction to the theoretical questions of interest
as well as a set of substantive research hypotheses that might be of interest
to study further. The sample consisted of N=405 children drawn from the
Children of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, about half of which
were missing one or more of the repeated measures on aggression or reading
ability. The measures of interest included four repeated measures of aggressive
behavior taken at two-year intervals, four repeated measures of reading
achievement taken at two-year intervals, Time 1 measures of cognitive stimulation
and social support of the child in the home, and background measures of
child gender, child age, and mother age.
This page was created in hopes that anyone who
was interested could download the same data set that was used by the symposium
participants to try their own hand at analyzing the data and to compare
their results to those of the participants. This page will be periodically
updated with the specific analyses presented by the participants as well
as anyone else's analyses who would like to share their results with others.
What follows are the supporting documentation
for the symposium, the raw data file, the necessary SAS code for manipulating
the raw data, and various approaches that have already been used to analyze
this data. For all the following files, the file contents can be saved
directly to your disk using the "save as..." option under the "File" menu,
or "select all", then "copy", and then "paste" the contents of the file
into your own processor (e.g., SAS editor, MSWord, etc.), then save that
file to your disk.
Full Supporting Documentation, either in HTML
or PDF format, written by Patrick
J. Curran, Duke University. Note that the free Adobe
Acrobat Reader is required for opening the PDF format file.
Summary of contents
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Overview of symposium
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Introduction to the substantive question of development of aggressive behavior
in children over time
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List of theoretical hypotheses to be tested
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List of methodological hypotheses to be tested
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Methods section detailing subject recruitment and measure development
Raw data file of N=405 cases
in ASCII format
SAS code that inputs
the ASCII raw data file from above, computes descriptive statistics on
all variables, and reads out the raw data for use in other programs
SAS log and SAS
output that result from running the SAS code listed above.
The above files provide the actual raw data and the SAS code needed to
input the data, name the variables, and read out new data sets for input
into other statistics programs. The following files are sample programs
written in both EQS and HLM that test various questions about growth. To
use these files, you must have access to the full software packages of
HLM or EQS. The following files simply contain code used to define various
types of growth models -- these files can not be executed by themselves.
Also, note that these files simply represent a small sampling of ways in
which growth could be modeled using this data. They are in no way meant
to reflect "the" way to test growth.
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EQS (version 5.6): The
*.ESS files will prompt you to save the file to your local disk whereas
the *.EQS files are stored in *.txt format and will open in your browser.
Once opened, these files can either be saved directly to your local disk
using the 'save as...' command in the 'File' menu, or alternatively the
contents of the *.txt files can be copied and pasted into a local text
editor. Note that the file handles used in the following programs (e.g.,
the directions given to EQS to find the necessary files for the analysis)
will need to be modified to correspond to your particular operating system.
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SRCDFULL.ESS contains the ESS
file information for the complete N=221 subsample
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The following files input SRCD1997.ESS and estimate various types
of growth models
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ANTI01.EQS is an unconditional
growth model of antisocial behavior
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ANTI02.EQS is a conditional
growth model of antisocial behavior
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READ01.EQS is an unconditional
growth model of reading recognition
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READ02.EQS is a conditional
growth model of reading recognition
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HLM (version 4.01): The *.SSM files will prompt you
to save the file to your local disk whereas the *.HLM files are stored
in *.txt format and will open in your browser. Once opened, these files
can either be saved directly to your local disk using the 'save as...'
command in the 'File' menu, or alternatively the contents of the *.txt
files can be copied and pasted into a local text editor. Note that the
file handles used in the following programs (e.g., the directions given
to HLM to find the necessary files for the analysis) will need to be modified
to correspond to your particular operating system.
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SRCDFULL.SSM contains the SSM
file information for the fully complete N=221 subsample
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If you prefer to create your own SSM file from raw data, SRCDFULL.RSP
can be downloaded and used to create the SSM file on your own system using
the raw data files above.
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SRCDMISS.SSM contains the SSM
file information for the partially missing N=405 subsample
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If you prefer to create your own SSM file from raw data, SRCDMISS.RSP
can be downloaded and used to create the SSM file on your own system using
the raw data files above.
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The following files input SRCDFULL.SSM and SRCDMISS.SSM (be sure
to change the file definition lines in the body of the program to read
in either the full or the missing data set) and estimate various types
of growth models. Note that the models are currently written so that, at
least for the complete data set, the HLM and EQS growth models are equivalent.
This equivalency does not hold when considering the partially missing cases.
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ANTI01.HLM is an unconditional
growth model of antisocial behavior
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ANTI02.HLM is a conditional
growth model of antisocial behavior
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READ01.HLM is an unconditional
growth model of reading recognition
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READ02.HLM is a conditional
growth model of reading recognition
This page is very much a 'work in progress', and I plan on adding
further resources as time allows. Please check back occasionally for these
changes. Also, if you have analyses of these data that you might like to
share with others, send me a note and let me know.
This page was created and is maintained by Patrick
Curran in the Department
of Psychology at The University of North
Carolina. Please feel free to send any comments or suggestions to curran@unc.edu.
Last Updated 7-28-97