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Dynamical
systems applied to the ocean
The ocean is vast and covers
almost seventy percent of our planet's surface. Improved predictions
of the ocean are, therefore, pivotal in fomulating a better understanding
of our planet's climate. Unfortunately, the ocean is an extremely
complex chaotic system with the propensity to exhibit sensitive dependence
on initial conditions. This has plagued ocean (and more generally
weather) forecasting for the last four decades. The work in the group
is focussed on two specific aspects that employ dynamical systems
ideas to improve our understanding and predictions of the ocean. Our
first primary interest is in Lagrangian data assimilation that aims
to improve forecasts of the ocean through the use of Lagrangian meters.
Examples of such meters include drifters and floats although more
exotic instruments such as gliders also fall within this category.
Our primary aim here is to combine model forecasts and measurements
of Lagrangian meters in an optimum way. The ultimate goal is to develop
a mathematical framework for ocean forecasting that would circumvent
the problems that are intrinsic to the systems's sensitive dependence
on initial conditions. This venture on Lagrangian data assimilation
is being pursued with colleagues at the Department of Atmospheric
Sciences at UCLA.
A second line of work that is of interest to the group is in the application
of dynamical systems tools to explain and quanity transport in the
ocean. The transport mechanisms in the ocean turn out to be far more
complex than what may initially appear possible. However, by using
a heirarchy of different flow models, we have been able to explain
how Lagrangian chaos can enhance transport within models of the north
Atlantic. The dynamical systems methods we have employed rely on the
exraction of a set of repelling/ attracting material lines (that are
generalisations of stable and unstable manifolds). We have developed
a set of numerical tools within the group that allows us to extract
and analyse the tranport properties introduced by these flow structures.
These ideas are now being combined with Lagrangian data assimilation
to provide a unified dynamical systems framework for ocean predictions.
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