Rebirth of Monetarism

 

 

Milton FRIEDMAN

1912-2006

 


Milton Friedman was among the most publicly visible of modern economists. He won respect from both his followers and those economists who disagree strongly with his views. Few significant honors in economics failed to land in Friedman’s hands He was president of the American Economic Association in 1967 and in 1976 received the Nobel Prize in economics. Looking very much like everyone’s “favorite uncle,” Friedman often disarmed his adversaries with a wink and a gentle smile, but those who argued with him found him a formidable debater. He was able to express complicated ideas in simple terms understandable by those untrained in formal economic theory. This made him popular with the media and kept Friedman in touch with a wide audience.

Friedman was a vital force in attacking the orthodoxy of the Keynesian economics in a way that combined his argumentative talents with solid, empirical research and a desire not merely to tear down existing economic theory but to restructure it. Friedman’s most notable research involved monetary theory, but, as with all master economists, his thoughts touched many areas of economics. In the monetary field, Friedman reconstructed the quantity theory of money, reemphasized the importance and significance of monetary policy, questioned the Keynesian interpretation of the Great Depression, and developed his own prescriptions for preventing future economic catastrophes.

Friedman also made major contributions in such areas as risk and insurance (addressing why people simultaneously gamble and buy insurance) and developed a theory of consumption based on wealth, as opposed to the orthodox Keynesian view that consumption depends only on current income.

Along the way, he attempted to restate the classical liberal philosophy of Adam Smith in terms pertinent to the modern era. (Friedman’s admiration of Adam Smith wais virtually unbounded: he regularly wore a necktie patterned with cameos of Smith during public appearances.) Friedman also offered many ideas about replacing the influence of government with market solutions. For example, he argued that government should give vouchers (grants) to parents so that all children can attend schools tailored to their individual needs. He also argued that cash grants to poor people make more sense than such programs as food stamps because these grants would both leave more choices in the hands of the poor and require fewer tax dollars.

Friedman’s restatement of the quantity theory of money is important because it made the theory statistically testable, something the old theory was not. His restatement was essentially a theory of the demand for money, whereas the original version was a theory of the price level. Friedman’s analyses of the statistical evidence indicated that the demand for money is stable over the long run, and he concluded that large changes in the supply of money cause undesirable fluctuations in employment and in the price level. His disenchantment with fiscal policy was due in large measure to the fact that government deficits are most often financed by inflationary expansions of the supply of money and credit. Finally, Friedman was critical of the performance of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. He perceived the Fed as either following the wrong policy (trying to control interest rates instead of the money supply) or yielding to political pressure rather than sound economic logic.

 

 


Author: Ralph Byrns

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