"Semi-Positive" Economics and Pareto Efficiency

 

Ralph T. Byrns

 

Preliminary Draft: Please contact the author to receive permission before citing.


 

 

[T]he study of social phenomena receives much impetus from a strong moral and reforming zeal, so that many ostensibly "objective" analyses in the social sciences are in fact disguised recommendations of social policy.

 

Ernest Nagel

The Structure of Science:  Problems in the Logic of Scientific Explanation

Harcourt, Brace and World, Inc. NY NY 1961.

 

If a phenomenon admits of a complete mechanical explanation it will admit of an infinity of others which will account equally well for all of the peculiarities disclosed by the experiment.

Henri Poincaré

The Foundations of Science, Paris 1892

 

The goal of making the social sciences as ethically neutral as the physical sciences seem predates Auguste Comte, who provided much of the foundations for modern "value-free" economics with his formulation of logical positivism.  Few economists would take issue with the following quotation from Ferguson and Maurice:

 

The business of an economist is a positive, not a normative, one. That is, given a social objective, the economist can analyze the problem and suggest the most efficient means by which to attain a desired end.

Charles Ferguson and Charles Maurice

Economic Analysis, Revised Edition

Richard D. Irwin, Inc., Homewood, Illinois, 1974.

 

Most of us would agree with the implicit advice that aspiring economists eschew their value judgments if they want to be considered seriously in this profession. Note, however, that F-M assume that efficiency is socially desirable--a value judgment shared by most of us. [See Pareto efficiency in Economicae for elaboration.] Beyond this, there is the assertion that there is a unique and efficient means by which to accomplish the social objective.  If the social objective is stated in general terms, there will be no uniquely efficient means by which to attain the social objective; thus, economists' recommendations will reflect their personal value judgments.  The social decision maker, in order to specify completely the social objective in a manner that yields a uniquely efficient solution, must know the choices society faces (a grand utility possibilities frontier?), in which case the stated social objective may embody a unique and efficient method of attainment.

 

In other words, unless the full social welfare function is ordinally specified, the "efficient" proposal made will inevitably reflect the economist's normative biases; it will not be unique.  On the other hand, if the arbiter of the social objective selects from a menu of efficient points, no further work is required of the economist.  Can it be that even in heuristic definitions of positive economics, economists carry with their intellectual baggage a hatbox full of value judgments?  Certainly the F-M statement is not exceptional.

 

This paper contends, however, that any pundit/theorist/writer of any persuasion on any subject abstracts a tiny body of information from an infinitely greater body of phenomena, interprets and simplifies it to suit his/her impressions qua biases qua received [conventional?] wisdom, and delivers the product [including, e.g., my own musings] to the reader as predigested as the mashed regurgitations fed by parent birds to their chicks. Thus, a completely value-free economics is an empty box; and stripping all value judgments from economic analyses leaves a sterile carcass which consists of nothing more than either slippery logic or tautologically incomplete mathematics.

 

Unfortunately, the elegance of Paretian efficiency has led many economists to treat the concept as if it were positive in contexts that are normative.  This poses special difficulty in the analytics of optimality in consumption.  We argue that economists' intellectual preoccupation with efficiency has led many in the profession to advocate (implicitly) particular assignments or reassignments of property rights, which are conceded by most economists (when wearing their positive economists' hats) to be properly the province of legal and political processes. Finally, we argue that explicit recognition of the value judgments inherent in any economic analysis will permit the addressing of social problems for which economists have a comparative analytical advantage over those upon whom we slough off certain questions of equity and income distribution.

 

Can Meaningful and Value-Free Behavioral Models Be Constructed?

 

It is a commonplace that the scientific method consists, first, of abstracting from the real world the phenomenon to be explained.

 

Problems of Abstraction

 

We are pretty sure that the ant has no idea about the world that humans inhabit and there is equally no reason to suppose that the world that is accessible to humans is all the world there is ...

Kenneth Boulding [1987]

"The Epistemology of Complex Systems"

European Journal of Operational Research, p. 110-116

 

Our sensory apparati are sufficiently crude that we cannot, however hard we concentrate, sense more than small portions of the spectra of such stimuli as light, heat, sound, pressure, and odor--radio waves, X-rays, and a myriad of other forms of energy and matter are simply outside our sensory range, although some of these are discernible though the use of specialized instruments.[1]

 

Even within the boundaries of our limited senses, the phenomena which continuously bombard us would result in sensory overload and nervous breakdowns if we did not block out most stimuli. (If you move next to the tracks, in short order you no longer hear the trains.)  In part, our sensory screens operate automatically; in part, they are volitional.  We choose to concentrate on some phenomena and to ignore others.  These screening mechanisms may pose far more of a difficulty for social scientists than for physical scientists; the volitional aspects of screening confront us with the problem that we may perceive only those social phenomena which we wish to perceive, and only in terms that are consistent with our value systems.

 

Selection among Hypotheses

 

The second step in the scientific method consists of the development of hypotheses that might explain phenomena which have been perceived, however imprecisely, and abstracted from the real world.  That development of any hypothesis which does explain some phenomenon is a difficult and time consuming process can be attested to be any researcher who has ever addressed some vexing problem.  Still, the previous quotation from Poincare' is echoed by Milton Friedman:

Observed facts are necessarily finite in number; possible hypotheses infinite. If there is one hypothesis which is consistent with the available evidence, there are always an infinite number that are.

Milton Friedman [1953]

"The Methodology of Positive Economics"

Essays in Positive Economics

Thus, we are faced with the quandary of selecting one from an infinity of hypotheses which are identical in their logical validity.  Given that a theory is internally consistent, other than tautological, and in accord with the phenomena to be explained, by what criteria is one hypothesis more compatible with truth than are all others?

 

Generality

 

One suggestion is generality, which has been offered by Friedman, Poincaré', and Popper[2], among others.  Generality is achieved though a process of abstraction; it is the attempt to get down to the bare bones of causal systems.  In some senses, generality, simplicity, elegance, and economy are synonyms.  Assuming identical acuity of sensory mechanisms, the most basically inferior and poorly trained of intellects will perceive as much data as can the best and brightest; it is the ability to disregard the unimportant that seems to characterize genius.

 

The process of abstraction is often, however, at odds with realism. On average, the more abstractly stated an hypothesis, the lower its explanatory power in addressing some subset or a specific data point randomly drawn from some set of observations.  (This objection to abstraction is at the root of the non-Aristotelian system of logic promulgated by Korzybski and his followers.[3]

 

Take any general proposition that is widely held to explain the behavior of some highly aggregated dependent variable.  If the data point selected is less aggregated, then some less general proposition tends to be more predictive of the dependent variable associated with that data point since the less general proposition will be less abstract; it will embody more information about the dependent variable.  For example, as the behaviors of Americans, then black Americans, then black American women, then black American women in their 20's, then black women in their 20's from New York are to be explained (with regard to, say, labor force participation rates), as hypotheses about behavior are made more and more specific, the explanatory power of such hypotheses will increase so that more aspects of the labor market behavior of these subgroups are explicable, and there will be decreases in prediction errors.

 

An additional problem associated with generality may be deduced from Thomas Kuhn.[4]

 

[T]hose paradigms popular with investigators during one era may cause an incredible proportion of intellectual resources to be devoted to the refining of abstract systems that ultimately may prove totally incorrect.

Thus, while generality (i.e., simplicity) may cause previously unmanageable problems to yield to analysis, there is a danger that generality may become so much a fetish as to replace the goal of ascertaining true behavioral relationships in a social system.  Both Korzybski and Pirsig[5] emphasize that accepted scientific truths (hypotheses) change rapidly under the onslaught of the scientific method, and should be dated.  The "eternal verity" of the Law of Gravity as propounded by Newton has required considerable modification to be useful in an era of Einsteinian relativity and space exploration.  The particular modes of abstraction used in the development of general hypotheses are inherently and unavoidably influenced by the state of the art, the institutional setting, and the value systems of the researcher.

 

Harmony

 

Poincaré' offers "harmony" as a desirable characteristic of an hypothesis.[6] Harmony might be interpreted to mean that the hypothesis "feels right"; to as high-powered a mathematician as Poincaré', the elegance of an hypothesis undoubtedly contributed much to its harmony.  Alternatively, harmony may mean that the hypothesis contributes to the orderliness which characterizes most scientific views of the world.  The belief that the world is convergent and orderly rather than chaotic and explosive is reflective of one's metaphysical perspective, and so to use harmony as a criterion for hypothesis selection clearly is incompatible with the ethical neutrality towards which it is advocated that economists aspire.

 

Scientific Advance

 

Karl Popper has argued that one valid test of an hypothesis is whether or not the hypothesis "would constitute a `scientific advance'."[7]  Such a criterion is completely arbitrary and vacuous, in that the judgment of whether or not hypothesis A is an improvement over hypothesis B becomes either existential and individualistic, or a matter for consensus or majority vote.  If "scientific advance" means an increase in explanatory power, this criterion does not help in hypothesis selection.

 

Predictive Power

 

Milton Friedman has been in the vanguard of those who argue that predictive capability be the major test of an hypothesis.[8]  Unfortunately, on a purely logical ex post basis, all that is gained by successfully exposing an hypothesis to new data are extra degrees of freedom.  If an hypothesis fails to predict, it is tautologically true that it fails to explain and, as Paul Samuelson puts it, "An exception does not prove the rule; it disproves it." [9]

 

Inasmuch as Aristotelian logic does not depend on a time dimension, the criterion of prediction is no more than a restatement of the principle that hypotheses, to be valid, must explain.  Thus, we are left with the conclusion that predictive accuracy does not facilitate selecting from among the infinity of hypotheses which fit the data to be explained; just as there are an infinity of hypotheses identical in their explanatory power, so too will there be an infinity with identical predictive power.

 

Reprise

 

None of these tests of hypotheses can be derived logically, nor are any "scientific" unless science is defined to contain large doses of mysticism.  Milton Friedman overqualifies the word "arbitrary" in asserting that:

 

The choice among alternative hypotheses equally consistent with the available evidence must to some extent be arbitrary, though there is general agreement that relevant considerations are suggested by the criteria `simplicity' and `fruitfulness.'[10]

 

Unless scientific truth is defined in democratic terms, an appeal to consensus does not reduce the arbitrariness of the use of these or any other criteria.  That value judgments may permeate the process of hypothesis development can be inferred from all writings on the topic.  Again, a quote from Friedman, who is representative in stating that:[11]

 

The construction of hypotheses is a creative act of inspiration, intuition, invention; its essence is the vision of something new in familiar material. The process must be discussed in psychological, not logical, categories . . ."

 

If, as John Neville Keynes suggests,[12] positive science consists of descriptive statements of "what is," with normative science focusing on "what ought to be," and if our descriptions of "what is" are colored by feelings about "what ought to be," then "positive economics" is a mirage.

 

The scientific method is commonly described as observation of the real world (through our sensory screens), the development of an explanatory hypothesis (which, if it is successful in explaining, will be only one of many such hypotheses), the examination o

f the hypothesis in a mathematical-logical construct for internal consistency, and finally the empirical testing of the hypothesis by applying it to some new set of data.

 

That interpretation of empirical results may be ambiguous is well known; it is not uncommon to find the same data and results used in support of mutually inconsistent hypotheses.  That fundamentally different value judgments might explain such cases seems reasonable.  Only in the process of submitting theory to mathematical-logical tests for internal consistency can we be even modestly sure of our ethical neutrality.  Thus, if all facets of value-influenced economic analysis are eliminated, all that remains are tools; in the development of new tools, we may be scientific.  In applying these tools it is not possible to be ethically neutral, as both the data and the hypotheses chosen for testing and the interpretation of the results of tests are inextricably influenced by our value judgments.

 

The Question of Consensus on Economic Policy

 

At this juncture, the objection may be raised that the advocacy of particular policies is clearly within the sphere of normative economics; this point must be yielded.  However, some of the economists who have been most vociferous in their expressed desire that economics become a more positive science have been equally vehement in believing that policy implications may be derived from positive analytics.  Two statements from Friedman address this issue[13]

 

Normative economics and the art of economics . . . cannot be independent of positive economics . . .

 

. . . differences about economic policy among disinterested citizens derive predominantly from different predictions about the consequences of taking action--differences that in principle can be eliminated by the process of positive economics--rather than from fundamental differences in basic values, differences about which men ultimately can only fight.

 

Friedman's suggestion that "men can ultimately only fight" about fundamental differences in basic values contradicts the concept that economics is the study of mechanisms through which humans resolve conflicting objectives. Indeed, one of the major virtues of the price system is that it is such an instrument. Samuelson [1963] and Samuels [1972] are among those who have addressed the price system as a system of mutual coercion.

 

It is the correct judgment of Walter Heller[14] that

 

Economists widely, in some cases almost uniformly, favor tougher antitrust policy, freer trade, deregulation of transportation, pollution taxes in place of most prohibitions, and tax reforms to remove tax shelters.  They oppose fair trade laws, restrictive labor and management practices, distortive zoning laws and building quotas, ceilings on interest rates, maritime subsidies, and pure (or impure) pork barrel projects.

 

Some might argue that such near unanimity across the broad spectrum of political ideologies held by economists supports Friedman, and is an indicator of the power of positive economics in applying efficiency criterion to a number of policy issues.  An alternative hypothesis is presented below. 

 

Pareto Optimality and Policy Recommendations

 

In his 1974 bestseller, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance, Robert Pirsig divided humankind into two camps, romantic and classical.[15]

 

The romantic mode is primarily inspirational, imaginative, creative, intuitive. Feelings rather than facts predominate.  "Art," when it is opposed to "Science," is often romantic.  It does not proceed by reason or by laws.  It proceeds by feeling, intuition and aesthetic conscience . . . . The classic mode, by contrast, proceeds by reason and by its laws . . . .

 

(Pirsig oversimplifies, in that some individuals may strive for the logical clarity of the classical mode within the context of their professions, but might be characterized as mystics in their religious practices.)

 

The impetus for the study of economics instead of some other logical discipline) derives from the romantic.  The drive for rigor, elegance, and ethical neutrality, once one begins to study economics, originates in a classical world view.  For most, the choice of economics as a discipline and life's work is reflective of dissatisfaction with the current order, and a desire to do something "useful" in changing things for the better.  The following statement by Abba Lerner reveals both classical and romantic impulses.[16]

 

The nearest thing to a systematic philosophy is my feeling that it is only concern with improving the condition of man which justifies work in economics.  This, in spite of the keen enjoyment I have always felt, and still do, in the mental exercise involved and in the achievement of elegant proofs and diagrams.  However, I have always felt that this could have been obtained in a higher degree if I had gone in for mathematics or chess, which I refrained from doing for the very same reason, namely that I found economics about equally enjoyable and much more useful.

 

Earlier economists freely voiced their value judgments in advocating social reforms or in prescribing moral behavior.  This is quite evident in perusals of the works of Smith, Mill, Marshall, or Fisher.  From the perspective of 2004, many of their opinions appear quaint and their value judgments stand in marked contrast to the seemingly objective prose that permeates contemporary journals.

 

The gradual ascendance of Comte's logical positivism throughout the social sciences, coupled with Lionel Robbins' argument[17] that no market test can be devised through which to ascertain interpersonal utility comparisons, and merged with the extensions by, e.g., Allen and Hicks, of the mathematical tools pioneered by Walras, Edgeworth, and Pareto, led to a reaction against the romanticism implicit in the value explicitness of earlier economists.

 

The incorporation of Pareto criteria into the "new welfare economics" was symptomatic of this reaction, just one manifestation of the attempt to force economic analysis into a classical mode, less human in being bereft of explicit value judgments, but (superficially at least) more in keeping with an attitude of ethical neutrality.  Harry Johnson is typical in arguing that:[18]

 

The `new welfare economics,' which emerged rapidly in response to Robbins' challenge, has made economists much more aware of the pervasiveness and relevance of value judgments in economic analysis and prescription, and much more careful about treating them explicitly.

 

As a mathematical system of marginal conditions for joint, constrained optimization, Pareto criteria appeal to the classical, positivist spirit.  If the apparently innocuous assessment is made that society desires maximization, then efficiency criteria seem to permit reconciliation of this classical mode with the humanistic and romantic vision of reality which has as a goal the promulgation of policy recommendations, and which impelled most of us into economics as a discipline instead of mathematics or engineering.

 

The desire for a positive economic science has resulted in an attempt to divorce issues of resource allocation from those of income distribution.[19]  Guided by their classical instincts, most economists insist that resource allocations be governed by efficiency considerations, given the assumption that society dictates optimization as a goal.  When an efficient solution is proposed and rejected, we too often brand those who veto our proposals as irrational.  Within the context of Pirsig's model, they either fail to understand or don't appreciate the classical essence of economic efficiency and market solutions, and might more aptly be characterized as romantic.  Those who tend to the romantic in their allocative preferences may be objecting to certain aspects of economic efficiency or to market outcomes, to the extend that these outcomes seem inequitable or unaesthetic.  Economists commonly counter objections based on the undesirable income-distribution consequences of particular policies with the suggestion that the political process, not the market place, is the proper mechanism for income redistributions.  Negative income tax schemes are sometimes offered as possibly efficient means by which to accomplish desired transfers.

 

As with all divorces, the intellectual separation of the income from the allocative effects of specific policies engenders numerous messy problems.  First, it is hard to distinguish those who benefit from those who lose as a result of changed policy.[20] The suggestion that the losers be compensated through a negative income tax succeeds only in that advocates of inefficient policies may be forced to admit that their constituencies are not impoverished and are unlikely to become so as a consequence of the adoption of efficient policies.  Second, if the income distribution effects of policy changes are felt by some to be sufficiently important to warrant compensation of losers by gainers, individuals who lose in the course of income transfers have reduced incentives to efficiently use the resources to which they have legal title.

 

The possibility that inefficiency is associated with income transfers leads to the fundamental question of property rights.  Following the seminal work of Coase,[21] a vast literature has emerged to the effect that allocative inefficiency is eliminated if perfect information obtains and the rights to all property are clearly defined.  (For elaboration, see the bibliographies of papers in the volume edited by Wunderlich and Gibson[22])  If efficiency is assured whenever all property rights are assigned, then it would seem that the state can cause the attainment of any point in the analytical core of an economy through some configuration of property right assignments.  Seen in this light, any problem of income distribution generated by a change to an efficient policy can be rectified by assigning or reassigning property rights.

 

A fly appears in this ointment when we recognize that changes in tastes, technology, or any other variable that most economists treat as parameters will redistribute income.  (An unfortunate by-product of the wide use of comparative statics is the tendency to treat parameters as constants; such parameters change constantly, so no state assignment of property rights will yield some static, politically "optimal" income distribution.  In our analyses, we need to recognize that society at large is probably interested, not in property right assignment per se, but in the income level and distribution that emerges under specific property right structures.

 

Since the parameters that determine the income flows to particular properties change values over time (sometimes quite rapidly), the reassignments of property rights necessary to maintain an optimal distribution of income would require an algorithm at least as complex as that employed in analyzing general equilibration in markets.  To cavalierly slough this problem off onto the political process is to invite rejection of suggestions for efficient policy.  Given the states of analytics in the disciplines of sociology, history, political science and law, some of whose students are very likely to control the political decisionmaking process, it would seem that economists would have a comparative advantage for analysis of problems of income redistribution or for the redistribution or reassignment of property rights.

 

Ascertaining equilibrium solutions for resource allocation is a knotty problem, but economists are aided in this task by such signals as (changes in?) relative prices, quantities of inputs and outputs, and rates of entry and exit from markets.  Finding solutions that achieve different possible income distributions poses even greater difficulty in that such signals as are available are far from ambiguous.  Many in the profession would avoid this problem as requiring the interjection of ascientific value judgments.  Value judgments are unavoidable, however, any time we argue for some efficient or market solution.  The proof of this lies in analysis of any of those policies listed by Heller which seem to generate such unanimity among economists, but such rejection by the public at large.

 

If the state has the right to determine property rights and if advocacy of particular ownership patterns is not deemed proper for economists in their positivist roles, then some contradictions are inherent in any discussion of policy.  For example, the efficiency of free trade appeals to an overwhelming majority of economists; most advocate the elimination of tariffs, quotas, and other barriers to trade.  This position arises from "positive" analytics through which it is trivial to show that Utopian transfers which would result in a Pareto-safe move are theoretically possible with the transition from a barrier-ridden to a free system of international transactions.  With establishment of the "fact" that any losers from freer trade policies can be compensated by those who gain, most economists (including, we must admit, ourselves) proceed to argue for the elimination of any barriers, and for "the" market solution.

 

Ignored is the curiosum that in establishing tariffs, the political structure effectively has assigned a property right in the higher income stream associated with the sale of the protected good.  Policy changes that might eliminate some inefficiencies almost invariably will cause income redistributions that should not be ignored by economists who prize objectivity.

 

The position that ethical neutrality is achieved by ignoring the income distribution effects of policy is tantamount to the assertion that even-handedness is identical with arbitrariness, so long as that which is arbitrary is random.  This, the belief that positive economic analysis encompasses the ascertainment of the efficiency characteristics of alternative policies, and that the efficiency or lack thereof of a particular policy stands as a ground for "positivistic" policy recommendations, cannot be supported.[23] Warren Samuels points out that:[24]

 

It is inconsistent to support legal change in the interest of certain reforms (e.g. efficiency) yet ignore distributional consequences, while opposing other reforms (e.g., income redistribution) under the rubric of avoiding interpersonal utility comparisons  and distributional-ethical questions; it is inconsistent and it is obscurantist.

 

In any discussion of policy, even if an economist can identify gainers and losers and offers a policy that results in Pareto-safe moves, the specifics of such policy will generate a division of the net gains which will either reflect personal value judgments or be arbitrary.  Even the most innocuous of specific policies, derived as directly as possible from "positive" analytics, cannot be ethically neutral.  Only with full identification of all policy options can the economist legitimately claim to be simultaneously a positive scientist and a policy technician.  We believe this task to be insurmountable.  While questions of income distribution are messy and offensive to the classical, rationalistic streak in most of us, explicit treatment of such problems is both more honest and probably more rewarding than the all too prevalent practice of disguising unavoidable equity considerations under the cloak of verbiage about efficiency and scientific objectivity.

 

Some Concluding Remarks

 

This paper is not intended as a nihilistic condemnation of all economic analysis.  Rather, its purpose is to point out the impossibility of a truly positive economics, and the potential personal satisfactions that might be derived from dealing explicitly with income distribution questions.

 

Every analysis unavoidably reflects the (perhaps unconscious) bias of the analyst.  Particularly unfortunate is the common tendency to believe that certain (primarily free market oriented) policies flow from positive analytics without benefit of the interjection of value judgments.  There is too widespread a feeling that efficiency alone justifies virtually any solution--especially those yielded by markets.  Too often, economists advocate the efficient solution, or the market solution, only to be bewildered when those whom we advise fail to take advantage of our insights.[25]

 

General equilibrium models of market economies indicate the existence of an infinity of efficient solutions, an infinity of market solutions; which one, if any, might be attained is determined by the structure of property rights.  If we can infer that a Pareto efficient position, A, is deemed by policymakers to be inferior to some inefficient state, B, it is incumbent upon us to spell out the details of the systems of compensation or property rights that might permit attainment of as many different efficient points which are Pareto superior to B as is possible.  To throw up our hands, or to make disparaging remarks about the intellectual caliber (or parentage) of decision makers who reject the efficient solution we propose is to condemn the economics profession to impotency with regard to policy.

 

The hypothesis that positive economics exists that is other than sterile for policy purposes can be rejected; it does not fit the data.  The attempt to clothe what is inherently a normative science in the garb of "positive economics" is a fraud which deludes most of us, who spend our professional careers deriving the characteristics of the Pareto efficient solutions to pressing social problems.  More importantly, the attempt to banish normative aspects from economics would leave a void as to who might in an analytical manner address such social issues.

 

That a value free economics is a mirage is increasingly recognized in some quarters. Sadly, much of this recognition is outside the mainstream of economic analysis. Dennis Mueller reflects the thoughts of many members of the "public choice" paradigm in pointing out that:[26]

 

To say that we favor an unregulated or a less regulated market to a more regulated one . . . introduces a value judgment . . . into what we like to pretend is a value free analysis of efficiency.

 

With the terms of trade turning against the United States, and the prospect that the previous steady growth of the national pie may give way to a decline in per capita income, the questions of how the pie should be divided, and through the use of what (hopefully efficient) mechanisms, can be predicted to increasingly occupy policy debates.  If policymakers turn to economists and find that we have not dirtied our hands in analyzing this topic, we will have abdicated an opportunity for the fulfillment of the romantic aspects of our personalities.  Our classical impulses have caused many of us to ignore the implicit vale judgments associated with the evaluation of policies along efficiency lines.  To admit openly these value judgments may allow us to do productive research on income distribution and in other areas that have previously been perceived as outside the scope of `positive' economic science. 

 

 


REFERENCES

 

James M. Buchanan, "America's Third Century in Perspective," Atlantic Economic Journal, Vol. 1 #1, Nov. 1973, pp. 3-12.

 

James M. Buchanan, The Demand and Supply of Public Goods, Rand McNally & Co., Chicago 1968.

 

Kenneth E. Boulding, "The Epistemology of Complex Systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 30, p. 110-116, 1987.

 

Ronald H. Coase, "The Problem of Social Cost," Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 3, 1960.

 

Charles Ferguson and Charles Maurice, Economic Analysis, Revised Edition, Richard D. Irwin, Inc., Homewood, Illinois, 1974.

 

Milton Friedman, "The Methodology of Positive Economics," Essays in Positive Economics, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 1953.

 

Walter W. Heller, "What's Right with Economics," American Economic Review, Vol. LXV, No. 1, March 1975, pp. 1-26.

 

Harry G. Johnson, "The Economic Approach to Social Questions," National Affairs, Vol. 12 (Summer 1968), reprinted in Economics:  Mainstream Readings and Radical Critiques, edited by David Mermelstein, Random House, NY NY, 1970.

 

John Neville Keynes, The Scope and Method of Political Economy, London 1898.

 

Alfred Korzybski, Science and Sanity: An Introduction to Non-Aristotelian Systems and General Semantics, 4th ed., The International Non-Aristotelian Library Publishing Company, Lakeville, Connecticut 1958.

 

Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, 2nd ed., University of Chicago Press, Chicago 1970.

 

Dennis Mueller, "Anarchy, the Market, and the State," Southern Economic Journal, 54-4, April 1988, p. 821-830. 

 

Richard A. Musgrave, The Theory of Public Finance, McGraw-Hill, NY NY, 1959.

 

Ernest Nagel, The Structure of Science:  Problems in the Logic of Scientific Explanation, Harcourt, Brace and World, Inc. NY NY 1961.

 

Robert Pirsig, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance, William Morrow and Co., NY NY 1974.

 

Henri Poincare', The Foundations of Science, Paris 1892.

 

Karl R. Popper, The Logic of Scientific Discovery, Harper Torchbooks, NY NY 1968.

 

Warren J. Samuels, "Welfare Economics, Power, and Property" pp. 61-148 in Wunderlich and Gibson [1972].

 

Paul A. Samuelson, "Modern Economic Realities and Individualism," The Texas Quarterly, Summer 1963, reprinted in The Collected Scientific Papers of Paul A. Samuelson, edited by Joseph Stiglitz, The M.I.T. Press 1966, pp. 1407-1418.

 

Gene Wunderlich and W. L. Gibson, Jr., editors, Perspectives on Property, The Pennsylvania State University, 1972.

 

 

 



[1] That such difficulties have been recognized at least as far back as Ancient Greece is indicated in Plato's Republic, in his "Parable of the Cave."

[2] Karl R. Popper, The Logic of Scientific Discovery, Harper Torchbooks, NY NY 1968.

[3] Alfred Korzybski, Science and Sanity, 4th ed., The International Non-Aristotelian Library Publishing Company, Lakeville, Connecticut 1958.

[4] Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, 2nd Edition, University of Chicago Press, Chicago 1970.

[5] Korzybski, op cit., passim, and Pirsig, op cit., passim.

[6] Poincaré', op cit.

[7] Popper, op cit., passim.

[8] Friedman, op cit.

[9] Paul A. Samuelson, "Modern Economic Realities and Individualism," The Texas Quarterly, Summer 1963, reprinted in <+">The Collected Scientific Papers of Paul A. Samuelson<-">, edited by Joseph Stiglitz, The M.I.T. Press 1966, pp. 1407-1418.

 

[10] Friedman, op cit..

[11] ibid

[12] John Neville Keynes, The Scope and Method of Political Economy, London 1898.

[13] Friedman, op. cit.

[14] Walter W. Heller, "What's Right with Economics," American Economic Review, Vol. LXV, No. 1, March 1975, pp. 1-26.

[15] Robert Pirsig, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance, William Morrow and Co., NY:  1974.

[16] Attributed to Lerner by Robert Hebert in a note to the author.

 

[17] Lionel Robbins, The Nature and Significance of Economic Science, London, MacMillan, 1932.

[18] Harry G. Johnson, "The Economic Approach to Social Questions," National Affairs, Vol. 12 (Summer 1968), reprinted in Economics: Mainstream Readings and Radical Critiques, edited by David Mermelstein, Random House, NY NY, 1970

[19] The three part budgetary framework constructed by Richard A. Musgrave [1959] is one of the more successful attempts at separation of these issues, although he is unusual in attempting to provide reconciliation of this conflict in his concept of the consolidated budget.

[20] The collapse in the 1980s of a system of "trade adjustment assistance" to offset the losses of those who suffer when international trade becomes freer is evidence of this. This program was one of the first on the Reagan administration's chopping block in its drive to reduce massive budget deficits.

 

[21] Ronald H. Coase, "The Problem of Social Cost," Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 3, 1960.

 

[22] Gene Wunderlich and W. L. Gibson, Jr., editors, "Perspectives on Property", The Pennsylvania State University, 1972

[23] Because many economists reject as ascientific the bringing of value judgments into economic analytics, they may deny to others the validity of their value judgments.  In so doing, the economists becomes a defender of the status quo, and fails to recognize that such a stance requires an implicit value judgment.  If society defines property rights and assigns particular endowments of these rights to particular individuals, is society forever barred from changing these rights and endowments?  Any economist who answers this question in the affirmative has made a value judgment that may cause the validity of the classic constructs of the efficiency and the market to be called into question by romantics or by decision makers who want to make a non-Pareto move.

[24] Warren J. Samuels, "Welfare Economics, Power, and Property" pp. 61-148 in Wunderlich and Gibson [1972].

[25] James Buchanan [1968, 1973] provides a discussion of some of the fundamental conflicts between the bipartite transactions that characterize economic efficiency and the collectivist philosophy underpinning a Bergson-Samuelson type of social welfare function.  Comparison of Buchanan's 1973 characterizations of `realists' and `romantics' with the classic and romantic modes presented in Pirsig is a productive exercise.

[26] Dennis Mueller, "Anarchy, the Market, and the State," Southern Economic Journal, 54-4, April 1988, p. 821-830. It is worth noting that even Mueller's attempt to bring value judgments explicitly into the realm of economics is flawed; other parts of his paper implicitly suppose that Pareto efficiency is a positive and objective force.