DUNCAN MACRAE, JR.

Kenan Professor
The Department                     of Public Policy
CB#3435 Abernethy Hall
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3435

Phone: (919) 962-1600
Fax: (919) 962-5824

The Department of Political Science CB# 3265       University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3265

Phone: (919) 962-3041               Fax (919) 962-0432

 

Email: umstar@email.unc.edu

DUNCAN MACRAE, JR.

Education

A.B., 1942, Johns Hopkins University (chemistry and physics)

A.M., 1943, Harvard University (electronic physics)

Ph.D., 1950, Harvard University (social psychology)

 

Fellowships and Awards

1956-57 Fulbright Research Scholar, Fondation Nationale des Sciences Politiques, Paris

1958 Auxiliary Research Award, Social Science Research Council

1968 Woodrow Wilson Award, American Political Science Association

1978 Fellow, American Academy of Arts and Sciences

1983 Donald T. Campbell Award, Policy Studies Organization

 

Professional Employment

1943-46 Staff Member, M.I.T. Radiation Laboratory.

1949-51 Instructor, Lecturer in Sociology, Princeton University; Staff Member, Study of Education at Princeton.

1951-53 Research Associate, Laboratory of Social Relations, Harvard University; Lecturer on Social Psychology, Harvard.

1953-57 Assistant Professor of Sociology and Social Institutions, University of California, Berkeley.

1957-62 Assistant Professor of Political Science and Sociology, University of Chicago.

1962-64 Associate Professor, University of Chicago.

1964-72 Professor, University of Chicago.

1972- William Rand Kenan, Jr. Professor of Political Science and Sociology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

1980-85 Chairman, Curriculum in Public Policy Analysis, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

 

 

 

Professional Societies

American Association for the Advancement of Science (Fellow)

American Political Science Association

American Sociological Association

American Economic Association

Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management

Policy Studies Organization (President, 1974-75)

American Evaluation Association

Bibliography

Electronic Instruments, vol. 20 of Radiation Laboratory Series (McGraw-Hill), editor, with I. A. Greenwood, Jr., and J. V. Holdam, Jr. 1948. Author of chapters:

2. "Computer Design" (with I. A. Greenwood, Jr.)

5. "The Generation of Functions" (with W. Roth)

6. "Grouped Operations"

7. "Examples of Computer Design" (with I. A. Greenwood, Jr., and W.Roth)

12. "Choice and Design of Components" (with I. A. Greenwood, Jr., and S. B. Cohen, J. R. Rogers, W. D. Green, Jr., and W. Roth)

14. "Special Servo Systems" (with J. R. Rogers, W. F. Goodell, Jr., I. A. Greenwood, Jr., and J. W. Gray)

"Low-Frequency Amplifiers with Stabilized Gain," Ch. 9 in G. E. Valley and H. Wallman (eds.), Vacuum Tube Amplifiers, vol. 18 of Radiation Laboratory Series (McGraw-Hill). 1948.

"Mathematical Operations on Waveforms - I" (with A. H. Fredrick and A. S. Bishop), Ch. 18, and "Mathematical Operations on Waveforms - II") with F. B. Berger), Ch. 19, in B. Chance et al. (eds.), Waveforms, vol. 19 of Radiation Laboratory Series (McGraw-Hill). 1949.

"Evidence Pertaining to Last-Minute Swing to Truman" (with S. A. Stouffer), Chapter X of F. Mosteller et al., The Pre-Election Polls of 1948 (Social Science Research Council). 1949.

"The Relation between Roll Call Votes and Constituencies in the Massachusetts House of Representatives.," Am. Pol. Sci. Rev., XLVI, no. 4 (December), 1046-1055. 1952.

"A Test of Piaget's Theories of Moral Development," J. Abn. Soc. Psychol., 49, no. 1 (January), 14-18. 1954.

"The Role of the State Legislator in Massachusetts," Am. Sociol. Rev., 19, no. 2 (April), 185-194. 1954.

"Some Underlying Variables in Legislative Roll Call Votes," Public Opinion Quarterly, 18, no. 2 (Summer), 191-196. 1954.

"Occupations and the Congressional Vote, 1940-1950," Am. Sociol. Rev., 20, no. 3 (June), 332-340. 1955.

"An Exponential Model for Assessing Fourfold Tables," Sociometry, 19, no. 2 (June), 84-94. 1956.

"Roll Call Votes and Leadership," Public Opinion Quarterly, XX, no. 3 (Fall), 543-558. 1956.

"Une Analyse factorielle des préférences politiques," Revue franc,aise de science politique, VIII, no. 1 (March), 95-109. 1958.

Dimensions of Congressional Voting: A Statistical Study of the House of Representatives in the Eighty-First Congress (with the collaboration of Fred H. Goldner). University of California Publications in Sociology and Sociology and Social Institutions, vol. 1, no. 3. Reprinted by Octagon Press, 1972. 1958.

"Religious and Socio-economic Factors in the French Vote, 1946-1956," Am. J. Sociol., XLIV, no. 3 (November), 290-298. 1958.

"Scale Positions and 'Power' in the Senate" (with H. D. Price), Behavioral Science, 4, no. 3 (July), 212-218. 1959.

"Collective Decision and Polarization in a 125-Man Group" (with D. M. Kilpatrick), Public Opinion Quarterly 23, no. 4 (Winter), 505-514. 1959.

"Game Theory and Cumulative Voting in Illinois" (with J. Sawyer), American Statistical Association, Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section, 1959, 71-78. 1960.

"Critical Elections in Illinois: 1888-1958" (with J. A. Meldrum), Am. Pol. Sci. Rev., LIV, no. 3 (September, 1960), 669-683. Reprinted in Jerome M. Clubb and Howard W. Allen (eds.), Electoral Change and Stability in American Political History (New York: Free Press, 1971). 1960.

"Electronic Processing of Sociometric Data for Groups up to 1,000 in Size" (with J. S. Coleman), Am. Sociol. Rev., 25, no. 5 (October), 722-727. 1960.

"Direct Factor Analysis of Sociometric Data," Sociometry, 23, no. 4 (December), 360-371. 1960.

"Legislators' Social Status and Their Votes" (with E. K. MacRae), Am. J. Sociol., LXVI, no. 6 (May), 599-603. 1961.

"Political Science: Pure or Applied?," in National Institute of Social and Behavioral Science, Symposia Studies Series no. 10 (March), 1-7. 1962.

"Game Theory and Cumulative Voting in Illinois: 1902-1954," (with J. Sawyer), Am. Pol. Sci. Rev., LVI, no. 4 (December), 936-946. 1962.

"Intraparty Divisions and Cabinet Coalitions in the Fourth French Republic," Comparative Studies in Society and History, V, no. 2 (January), 164-211. 1963.

"IBM 1401 Q-Matrix and Editing Programs for Legislative Votes," Behavioral Science, 10, no. 3 (July), 324. 1965.

"A Method for Identifying Issues and Factions from Legislative Votes," Am. Pol. Sci. Rev., LIX, no. 4 (December), 909-926. 1965.

"Indices of Pairwise Agreement Between Justices or Legislators," Midwest Journal of Political Science, X, no. 1 (February), 138-141. 1966.

"Careers, Science, and Politics," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, XXII, no. 2 (February), 26-28. 1966.

"Cluster Analysis of Congressional Votes with the BC TRY System," Western Political Quarterly, XIX, no. 4 (December), 631-638. 1966.

Parliament, Parties and Society in France, 1946-1958 (St. Martin's Press). Received Woodrow Wilson Award of Am. Pol. Sci. Assn. 1967.

"The Sociology of Legislatures," Il Politico, 32, no. 3 (September), 578-589. 1967.

 

"Utilitarian Ethics and Social Change," Ethics, 78, no. 3 (April), 188-198. Reprinted in Samuel Gorowitz (ed.), Utilitarianism, John Stuart Mill, with Critical Essays (Indianapolis: Bobbs-Merrill, 1971). 1968.

"Identifying Congressional Issues by Multidimensional Models," (with Susan B. Schwarz), Midwest Journal of Political Science, 12, no. 2 (May), 181-201. 1968.

"Factor Analysis of Aggregate Voting Statistics" (with J. A. Meldrum), in Mattei Dogan and Stein Rokkan (eds.), Quantitative Ecological Analysis in the Social Sciences (MIT Press). 1969.

"Growth and Decay Curves in Scientific Citations," American Sociological Review, 34, no. 5 (October), 631-634. 1969.

Issues and Parties in Legislative Voting: Methods of Statistical Analysis (Harper & Row). 1970.

"Social Science and the Sources of Policy," P.S., 3, no. 3 (Summer), 294-309. 1970.

"Some Political Choices in the Development of Communications Technology," in H. Sackman and Norman Nie (eds.), The Information Utility and Social Choice (Montvale, N.J.: AFIPS Press). Reprinted in Laurence H. Tribe (ed.), Channeling Technology Through Law (Chicago: Bracton Press, 1973). 1970.

"Spatial Models for the Analysis of Roll-Call Data," in James F. Herndon and Joseph L. Bernd (eds.), Mathematical Applications in Political Science V (Charlottesville: The University Press of Virginia). 1971.

"Scientific Communication, Ethical Argument, and Public Policy," American Political Science Review, 65, no. 1 (March), 38-50. 1971.

"A Dilemma of Sociology: Science Versus Policy," American Sociologist, 6 (Supplementary Issue, June), 2-7. 1971.

"Commentary on Lindblom's Paper," in James C. Charlesworth (ed.), Integration of the Social Sciences Through Policy Analysis (Philadelphia: The American Academy of Political and Social Science), 20-29. 1972.

"Justice, Normative Discourse, and Sociology," Contemporary Sociology, 2, no. 2 (March), 129-132. 1973.

"Science and the Formation of Policy in a Democracy," Minerva, 11, no. 2 (April), 228-242. Reprinted in Thomas J. Kuehn and Alan N. Porter (eds.), Science, Technology, and National Policy (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1981). 1973.

"Reconciling Science and Democracy," Review of Social Theory, 1, no. 2 (April), 123-137. 1973.

"Social Research and Public Policy," Journal of Applied Behavioral Science, 9, no. 2-3, 408-410. 1973.

"Normative Assumptions in the Study of Public Choice," Public Choice, 16, (Fall), 27-41. 1973.

"Sociology in Policy Analysis," Policy Studies Journal, 2, no. 1 (Autumn), 4-8. 1973.

Testimony and prepared statement in hearings on "Federal Information Systems and Plans--Implications and Issues," (Part 3), before a sub-committee of the Committee on Government Operations, U. S. House of Representatives, 93d Congress, 2d Session (Washington, D. C.: U. S. Government Printing Office), pp. 1054-1058. 1974.

"Policy Analysis as an Applied Social Science Discipline," Administration and Society, 6, no. 4 (February), 363-388. 1975.

"Sociology in Public Policy Analysis," in Stuart S. Nagel (ed.), Policy Studies and the Social Sciences (Lexington-Heath), pp. 49-56. 1975.

"The Social Control of Information Utilities," in Proceedings of Conference 74, DPI/CIPS (Ottawa, Canada: Data Processing Institute), pp. 99-103. 1975.

The Social Function of Social Science (Yale University Press). 1976.

"The University and the Utility of Policy Analysis," Policy Studies Journal, 4, no. 3 (Spring), 285-287. 1976.

"Social Indicators, Program Evaluation, and Policy Analysis," University of North Carolina News Letter LX, no. 3 (September), 3-4. 1976.

"Technical Communities and Political Choice," Minerva, 14, no. 2 (Summer), 169-190. 1976.

"Professions and Social Sciences as Sources of Public Values," Soundings, 60, no. 1 (Spring), 3-21. 1977.

"Review Essay: The Sociological Economics of Gary S. Becker," American Journal of Sociology, 83, no. 5 (March), 1244-1258. 1978.

"Introducing Undergraduates to Public Policy Analysis by the Case Method," Policy Studies Journal, 6, no. 3 (Spring), 353-359. Reprinted in William D. Coplin (ed.), Teaching Policy Studies (Lexington, 1978), 129-135. 1978.

"Survey Assessments of Consumer Demand for Publicly Supplied Goods: Recreation Facilities" (with Michael W. McKinney), Institute for Research in Social Science Discussion Papers, no. 5, UNC--Chapel Hill. 1978.

Policy Analysis for Public Decisions (with James A. Wilde) (Duxbury Press); Reprinted 1985 by University Press of America. 1979.

"Comments [on Elster's paper]," and "Comments [on d'Iribarne's Paper]," in Louis Lévy-Garboua, ed., Sociological Economics (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage Publications). 1979.

"Changing Social Science to Serve Human Welfare," Social Science History 3, no. 3-4 (October), 227-241. 1979.

"The Concepts and Methods of Policy Analysis," Transaction/SOCIETY 16, no. 6 (September/October), 17-23. 1979.

"Collective Preferences as Predictors of Interstate Migration" (with J. R. Carlson), Social Indicators Research, 8, no. 1 (March), 15-32. 1980.

"Scientific Policymaking and Compensation for the Taking of Property," in J. Roland Pennock and John Chapman (eds.), NOMOS XXII: Property (New York: New York University Press). 1980.

"Rational Models for Consumer Energy Conservation," in Raymond J. Burby and Mary Ellen Marsden (eds.), Energy and Housing: Consumer and Builder Perspectives (Cambridge, Mass.: Oelgeschlager, Gunn, and Hain). 1980.

"Policy Analysis Methods and Governmental Functions," in Stuart S. Nagel (ed.), Improving Policy Analysis (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage Publications). Reprinted in Ralph M. Kramer and Harry Specht (eds.), Readings in Community Organization Practice, 3d ed. (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1983). 1980.

"Progressive Taxation, the 'Marriage Tax,' and Ethical Consistency," in Zee I. Giraldo, Public Policy and the Family (Lexington, Mass.: D. C. Heath, Lexington Books). 1980.

"Valuative Problems of Public Policy Analysis," in John P. Crecine (eds.), Research in Public Policy Analysis and Management, Vol. 1 (Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press). 1981.

"Models for Policy Analysis" (with Ronald T. Haskins), in Ronald T. Haskins and James J. Gallagher (eds.), Models for Analysis of Social Policy: An Introduction (Norwood, NJ: Ablex). 1981.

"Combining the Roles of Scholar and Citizen," in Ronald T. Haskins and James J. Gallagher (eds.), Models for Analysis of Social Policy: An Introduction (Norwood, NJ: Ablex). 1981.

"Planning and Policy Analysis: Converging or Diverging Trends?" (with Rachelle Alterman), Journal of the American Planning Association 49, no. 2 (Spring), 200-215. 1983.

Policy Indicators: Links between Social Science and Public Debate (Chapel Hill, NC: University of North Carolina Press). 1985.

"Policy Indicators and Public Statistics: Democratic Information Systems," in William N. Dunn (ed.), Policy Analysis: Perspectives, Concepts, and Methods (Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press). 1986.

"The Science of Politics and Its Limits," in Herbert Weisberg (ed.), Political Science: The Science of Politics (New York: Agathon Press). 1986.

"The Issue of Standing in Cost-Benefit Analysis" (with Dale Whittington), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 5, no. 4 (Summer), 1-18. Awarded the Raymond Vernon Prize as the best article in that volume of the journal. 1986.

"Building Policy-Related Technical Communities," Knowledge 8, no. 3 (March), 431-462. 1987.

Policies for America's Public Schools: Teachers, Equity, and Indicators (Norwood, NJ: Ablex), editor, with Ron Haskins. 1988. Author of chapters:

1. "Reforming the Public Schools: The Commission Reports and Strategies of Reform" (with R. Haskins and M. W. Lanier)

9. "The Use of Student Improvement Scores in State and District Incentive Systems" (with M. W. Lanier)

11. "Reforming the Public Schools: Teachers, Equity, and Educational Indicators" (with R. Haskins)

"Assessing Preferences in Cost-Benefit Analysis: Reflections on Rural Water Supply Evaluation in Haiti" (with Dale Whittington), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 7, no. 2 (Winter), 246-263. 1988.

"Professional Knowledge for Policy Discourse: Argumentation versus Reasoned Selection of Proposals," Knowledge in Society 1, no. 3 (Fall): 6-24. 1988.

"The Use of Outcome Measures in Implementing Policies for Handicapped Children," in James J. Gallagher, Pascal L. Trohanis, and Richard M. Clifford (eds.), Policy Implementation (PL 99-457): Planning for Young Children with Special Needs (Baltimore, MD: Paul H. Brookes), pp. 183-197. 1989.

"Policy Indicators: A Continuing and Needed Field," Journal of Public Policy 9, no. 4 (Oct.-Dec.): 437-438. 1989.

"Comment: Judgments about Who Has Standing in Cost-Benefit Analysis" (with Dale Whittington), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 9, no. 4 (Fall): 536-547. 1990.

"Policy Analysis and Knowledge Use," Knowledge and Policy 4, no. 3 (Fall), 27-40. 1991.

"Policy Advice and Political Science," in William N. Dunn and Rita Mae Kelly (eds.), Advances in Policy Studies Since 1950, Vol. 10 of Policy Studies Review Annual (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Books). 1992. 

 

"Types of Expert Advice for Public Policy Choice," in K. Mesman Schultz, J. T. A. Koster, Frans L. Leeuw, and B. M. J. Wolters (eds.), Between Sociology and Sociological Practice: Essays on Social Policy Research (Liber Amicorum dedicated to Mark van de Vall). Nijmegen, The Netherlands: Institute for Applied Social Science, pp. 23-35. 1993.

"Guidelines for Policy Discourse: Consensual and Adversarial," in Frank Fischer and John Forester (eds.), The Argumentative Turn in Policy Analysis and Planning (Durham, NC: Duke University Press). 1993.

"Policies for Curbing the HIV Epidemic in the US: Implications of a Simulation Model" (with Allan M.Salzberg), Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 27, no.3 (September): 153-169. 1993.

"Impact of Zidovudine on HIV Progression: Delay, Rate Change, or No Effect" (with Allan M. Salzberg and Lester W. Lee), Program and Abstracts for the First National Conference on Human Retroviruses and Related Infections, Washington, D.C., Dec. 12-16, p. 179 (abstract). 1993.

"Social Policy Analysis: Roles and Prospects," Journal of Applied Sociology 10: 99-124. 1993.

"Simulation of the San Francisco HIV Epidemic: AZT as an Epidemiologic Modulator" (with Lester W. Lee and Allan M. Salzberg), Program and Abstracts for the Second National Conference on Human Retroviruses and Related Infections, Washington, D.C., Jan. 29-February 2, p. (abstract); published in Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes and Human Virology 10 #2: 207 (letter). 1995.

"The Nonlinear Effect of the Initial Period of High Infectivity on the Spread of HIV in the USA" (with Allan M. Salzberg), Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes and Human Virology 9 #3 (July): 314 (letter). 1995.

Expert Advice for Policy Choice: Analysis and Discourse (with Dale Whittington)(Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press). 1997.

"Analyzing the Impact of AZT on the Progression of HIV Infection: Proportional vs. Constant Delay over Three Years of Treatment" (with Allan M. Salzberg), Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 31 #1: 1-9. 1997.

"Cross-National Perspectives for Aiding Policy Choice," Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis 1 #1 (in press). 1998.

"The Structure of and Prospects for Policy Research as Suggested by Journal Citation Analysis" (with Irwin Feller), Policy Studies Review 15, 1 (Spring): 115-135. 1998.

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