Conway Research:

Evaluating the Effects of the International Monetary Fund

My work on the International Monetary Fund has proceeded along both theoretical and empirical paths. Recent working papers include:

• IMF Programs and Economic Crisis: An Empirical Study of Transition

 

• Endogenous IMF Conditionality: Theoretical and Empirical Implications -- presented at ASSA meetings, January 2004, and published as chapter 4 of Ranis, G., J. Vreeland and S. Kosack, eds: Globalization and the Nation State. Routledge, 2006.

 

• Projecting Macroeconomic Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs (with Rouben Atoian, Marcelo Selowsky and Tsidi Tsikata), published as chapter 12 of Ranis, G., J. Vreeland and S. Kosack, eds: Globalization and the Nation State. Routledge, 2006.

 

• Evaluating the Impact of IMF Programs: A Comparison of Matching and Instrumental-Variable Estimators (with Ruben Atoyan), forthcoming in the Review of International Organizations
  • Base SAS program
  • SAS program for robustness checks
  • SAS program for changing the time horizon
  • SAS dataset

 

• International Monetary Fund in a Time of Crisis -- A Review Essay, forthcoming in the Journal of Economic Literature

 

• The Revolving Door: Duration and Recidivism in IMF Programs
  • pdf file
  • example of the SAS data program
  • example of the SAS data file