Koleman Strumpf's Published Papers

File-Sharing and Copyright (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). NBER's Innovation Policy and the Economy series, volume 10. ed. Joshua Lerner and Scott Stern. MIT Press. 2009.

Introduction to Special Issue on Corporate Applications of Prediction Markets. Journal of Prediction Markets. 2009. 3(1): i-vii.

• Backround:
  • Papers based on Conference on Corporate Applications of Prediction/Information Markets (1 November 2007, Kauffman Foundation)
  • Table of contents: I served as special editor of the journal issue
• More details: Entire issue (JPM, Volume 3, Number 2)
• Blog posts: Midas Oracle, Betfair blog

The Effect of File Sharing on Record Sales: An Empirical Analysis (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). Journal of Political Economy. 2007. 115(1):1-42.

• Earlier drafts: March 2004, June 2005
• Media:
  • New York Times (5 April 2004)
  • ABC Nightline appearance (24 September 2004)
  • Le Show (4 April 2004). As close to a Simpsons reference as I will ever get.
• Supreme Court amicus brief: Supporting respondents in MGM v. Grokster

Consumer Demand under Price Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from the Market for Cigarettes (with M. Coppejans, D. Gilleskie, H. Sieg). Review of Economics and Statistics. 2007. 89(3): 510-521.

Earlier draft with additional details: NBER Working Paper No. 12156

The Behavioral Dynamics of Youth Smoking (with D. Gilleskie). Journal of Human Resources. 2005. 40(4): 822-866.

• Older version: NBER WP #7838.
• Cited in: Business Week (4 September 2000).

Decentralization and Government Provision of Public Goods: The Public Health Sector in Uganda (with J. Akin and P. Hutchinson). Journal of Development Studies. 2005. 41(8): 1417-1443.

Historical Presidential Betting Markets (with P. Rhode). Journal of Economic Perspectives. 2004 (Spring). 18(2): 127-142.

• Longer version: Historical Prediction Markets: Wagering on Presidential Elections.
• Cited in:
  • Science (Vol 305, Issue 5684, 603, 30 July 2004)
  • Science News (Vol 164, No. 16, 251, 18 October 2003). Based on related work.

Assessing the Importance of Tiebout Sorting: Local Heterogeneity from 1850 to 1990 (with P. Rhode). American Economic Review. 2003. 93: 1648-1677.

• A Historical Test of the Tiebout Hypothesis: Local Heterogeneity from 1850 to 1990 (NBER WP #7946): older version with more details on the county data.
• Data Appendix.
• Replication file for the empirical results.

Endogenous Policy Decentralization: Testing the Central Tenet of Economic Federalism (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). Journal of Political Economy. 2002. 110: 1-36.

Data sources for this paper are contained in the following book chapter:
Local Liquor Control from 1934 to 1970 (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). In Public Choice Interpretations of American Economic History (ed. Heckelman, Moorhouse, Whaples), 1999.

Does Government Decentralization Increase Policy Innovation? Journal of Public Economic Theory. 2002. 4: 207-241.

Strategic Competition in Sequential Election Contests. Public Choice. 2002. 111: 377-397.

Government Credibility and Policy Choice: Evidence from the Pennsylvania Earned Income Tax. Journal of Public Economics. 2001. 80: 141-167.

Infrequent Assessments Distort Property Taxes: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Urban Economics. 1999. 46: 169-199.

Estimating Presidential Elections: The Importance of State Fixed Effects and the Role of National versus Local Information (with J. Phillippe). Economics & Politics. 1999. 11: 33-50.

A Predictive Index for the Flypaper Effect. Journal of Public Economics. 1998. 69: 389-412.

Essays in political economy. Dissertation, MIT, 1995.

Note: Link to MIT thesis site.