Koleman Strumpf's Published Papers

Last updated: January 2009.

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File-Sharing and Copyright (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). NBER's Innovation Policy and the Economy series, volume 10. ed. Joshua Lerner and Scott Stern. MIT Press. 2009.


Introduction to Special Issue on Corporate Applications of Prediction Markets. Journal of Prediction Markets. 2009. 3(1): i-vii.


The Effect of File Sharing on Record Sales: An Empirical Analysis (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). Journal of Political Economy. 2007. 115(1):1-42.


Consumer Demand under Price Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from the Market for Cigarettes (with M. Coppejans, D. Gilleskie, H. Sieg). Review of Economics and Statistics. 2007. 89(3): 510-521.

Earlier draft with additional details: NBER Working Paper No. 12156


The Behavioral Dynamics of Youth Smoking (with D. Gilleskie). Journal of Human Resources. 2005. 40(4): 822-866.


Decentralization and Government Provision of Public Goods: The Public Health Sector in Uganda (with J. Akin and P. Hutchinson). Journal of Development Studies. 2005. 41(8): 1417-1443.


Historical Presidential Betting Markets (with P. Rhode). Journal of Economic Perspectives. 2004 (Spring). 18(2): 127-142.


Assessing the Importance of Tiebout Sorting: Local Heterogeneity from 1850 to 1990 (with P. Rhode). American Economic Review. 2003. 93: 1648-1677.


Endogenous Policy Decentralization: Testing the Central Tenet of Economic Federalism (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). Journal of Political Economy. 2002. 110: 1-36.

Note: the maps in the published version were printed out of order and with the wrong captions. See the online version for the correct maps.
Data sources for this paper are contained in the following book chapter:
Local Liquor Control from 1934 to 1970 (with F. Oberholzer-Gee). In Public Choice Interpretations of American Economic History (ed. Heckelman, Moorhouse, Whaples), 1999.


Does Government Decentralization Increase Policy Innovation? Journal of Public Economic Theory. 2002. 4: 207-241.


Strategic Competition in Sequential Election Contests. Public Choice. 2002. 111: 377-397.


Government Credibility and Policy Choice: Evidence from the Pennsylvania Earned Income Tax. Journal of Public Economics. 2001. 80: 141-167.


Infrequent Assessments Distort Property Taxes: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Urban Economics. 1999. 46: 169-199.


Estimating Presidential Elections: The Importance of State Fixed Effects and the Role of National versus Local Information (with J. Phillippe). Economics & Politics. 1999. 11: 33-50.


A Predictive Index for the Flypaper Effect. Journal of Public Economics. 1998. 69: 389-412.


Essays in political economy. Dissertation, MIT, 1995.

Note: Link to MIT thesis site.