Manuscripts


Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2003a). Distributional assumptions of growth mixture models: Implications for overextraction of latent trajectory classes. Psychological Methods, 8, 338-363.
-->Technical Appendix accompanying Bauer & Curran (2003a).

Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2003b). Over-extracting latent trajectory classes: Much ado about nothing? Psychological Methods, 8, 384-393.
-->This paper is a reply to three excellent commentaries by Bengt Muthen, Robert Cudeck, and David Rindskopf. Please contact these authors directly for reprints.

Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2004). The integration of continuous and discrete latent latent variable models: Potential problems and promising opportunities. Psychological Methods, 9, 3-29.

Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2005). Probing interactions in fixed and multilevel regression: Inferential and graphical techniques. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 40, 373-400.

Biesanz, J.C., Deeb-Sossa, N., Aubrecht, A.M., Bollen, K.A., & Curran, P.J. (2004). The role of coding time in estimating and interpreting growth curve models. Psychological Methods, 9, 30-52.
-->Technical Appendix with PROC IML code

Bollen, K.A., & Curran, P.J. (2004). Autoregressive latent trajectory (ALT) models: A synthesis of two traditions. Sociological Methods and Research, 32, 336-383.

Bollen, K.A., & Curran, P.J. (2006). Latent Curve Models: A Structural Equation Approach. Wiley Series on Probability and Mathematical Statistics. John Wiley & Sons: New Jersey.
-->Available at Wiley, Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and other book stores
-->all programs and data sets from book available at UCLA Academic Technology Services

Bollen, K.A., Kirby, J.B., Curran, P.J., Paxton, P.M., & Chen, F. (2007). Latent variable models under misspecification: A comparison of Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) to Full Information Maximum Likelihood estimators (FIML). Sociological Methods and Research, 36, 48-86.

Carrig, M., Wirth, R.J., & Curran, P.J. (2004). A SAS Macro for estimating and visualizing individual growth curves. Structural Equation Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 11, 132-149.
-->see accompanying web page for full macro & other support materials

Chassin, L., Curran, P.J., Hussong, A.M., & Colder, C.R. (1996). The relation of parent alcoholism to adolescent substance use: A longitudinal follow-up study. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 105, 70-80.

Chassin, L., Curran, P.J., Wirth, R.J., Presson, C.C., & Sherman, S.J. (2009). Developmental trajectories of cigarette smoking from adolescence to adulthood: An overview and relations to indicators of tobacco dependence. In Phenotypes and Endophenotypes: Foundations for Genetic Studies of Nicotine Use and Dependence (pp.189-244). Tobacco Control Monograph No. 20. Bethesda, MD: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute. NIH Publication No. 09-6366, August, 2009.

Chassin, L., Pillow, D.R., Curran, P.J., Molina, B.G., & Barrera, M. (1993). The relation of parent alcoholism to adolescent substance use: A test of three mediating mechanisms. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 102, 3-19.

Chassin, L., Presson, C., Seo, D.-C., Sherman, S.J., Macy, J. Wirth, R.J., & Curran, P.J. (2008). Multiple trajectories of cigarette smoking and the intergenerational transmission of smoking: A multigenerational longitudinal study of a Midwestern community sample. Health Psychology, 27, 819-828.

Chassin, L., Presson, C.C., Sherman, S.J., & Curran, P.J. (1992). Social psychological factors in adolescent substance use and abuse. In F.P. Medway and T.P. Cafferty (Eds.), Theories of School Psychology (pp. 397-424). New York: Erlbaum Associates.

Chen, F., Bollen, K., Paxton, P., Curran, P.J., & Kirby, J. (2001). Improper solutions in structural equation models: Causes, consequences, and strategies. Sociological Methods and Research, 29, 468-508.
-->Technical Appendix for Chen et al. (2001)

Chen, F., Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Kirby, J., and Paxton, P. (2008). An Empirical Evaluation of the Use of Fixed Cutoff Points in RMSEA Test Statistic in Structural Equation Models. Sociological Methods and Research, 36, 462-494.

Coffman, J. L., Ornstein, P. A., McCall, L. E., & Curran, P. J. (2008). Linking Teachers' Memory-Relevant Language and the Development of Children's Memory Skills. Developmental Psychology, 44, 1640-1654.

Curran, P.J. (1994). The robustness of confirmatory factor analysis to model misspecification and violations of normality. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, Arizona State University.

Curran, P.J. (1997). Two shorts make a long. Popular Woodworking, 97, 28.
-->I believe this is my most impactful publication.

Curran, P.J. (2000). A latent curve framework for studying developmental trajectories of adolescent substance use. In J. Rose, L. Chassin, C. Presson, & J. Sherman (Eds.), Multivariate Applications in Substance Use Research, (pp. 1-42). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
-->There is a typographical error in Table 1.1 on p9 for the correlations between variables 7, 8 & 9. The correct full correlation matrix is here

Curran, P.J. (2000). Factor Analysis. In A. Kazdin (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Psychology, (pp. 313-315). Washington, DC: American Psychological Association.

Curran, P.J. (2000). Latent growth curve modeling. [Review of the book An Introduction to Latent Variable Growth Curve Modeling: Concepts, Issues, and Applications]. Applied Psychological Measurement, 24, 181-183.

Curran, P.J. (2003). Have multilevel models been structural equation models all along? Multivariate Behavioral Research, 38, 529-569.

Curran, P.J. (2009). The seemingly quixotic pursuit of a cumulative psychological science: Introduction to the special issue. Psychological Methods, 14, 77-80.

Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J. (2007). Building path diagrams for multilevel models. Psychological Methods, 12, 283-297.

Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J.(2011). The disaggregation of within-person and between-person effects in longitudinal models of change. Annual Review of Psychology, 62, 583-619.

Curran, P.J., Bauer, D.J., & Willoughby, M.T. (2004). Testing and probing main effects and interactions in latent curve analysis. Psychological Methods, 9, 220-237.

Curran, P.J., Bauer, D.J, & Willoughby, M.T. (2006). Testing and probing interactions in hierarchical linear growth models. In C.S. Bergeman & S.M. Boker (Eds.), The Notre Dame Series on Quantitative Methodology, Volume 1: Methodological Issues in Aging Research, (pp.99-129). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

Curran, P.J., & Bollen, K.A. (2001). The best of both worlds: Combining autoregressive and latent curve models. In Collins, L. M. & Sayer, A. G. (Eds.), New Methods for the Analysis of Change, (pp105-136). Washington, DC: American Psychological Association.

Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Chen, F., Paxton, P., & Kirby, J. (2003). The finite sampling properties of the RMSEA: Point estimates and confidence intervals. Sociological Methods and Research, 32, 208-252.

Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Paxton, P., Kirby, J., & Chen, F. (2002). The noncentral chi-square distribution in misspecified structural equation models: Finite sample results from a Monte Carlo simulation. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 37, 1-36.

Curran, P.J., & Chassin, L. (1996). A longitudinal study of parenting as a protective factor for children of alcoholics. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 57, 305-313.

Curran, P.J., Edwards, M.C., Wirth, R.J., Hussong, A.M., & Chassin, L. (2007). The incorporation of categorical measurement models in the analysis of individual growth. To appear in T. Little, J. Bovaird, & N. Card (Eds.). Modeling ecological and contextual effects in longitudinal studies of human development (p89-120). Mahwah, NJ: LEA.

Curran, P.J., Harford, T.C., & Muthen, B.O. (1996). The relation between heavy alcohol use and bar patronage: A latent growth model. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 57, 410-418.

Curran, P.J., & Hussong, A.M. (2002). Structural equation modeling of repeated measures data. In D. Moskowitz & S. Hershberger (Eds.), Modeling Intraindividual Variability with Repeated Measures Data: Methods and Applications, (pp. 59-86). New York: Erlbaum Associates.

Curran, P.J., and Hussong, A.M. (2003). The use of latent trajectory models in psychopathology research. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 112, 526-544.

Curran, P.J., & Hussong, A.M. (2009). Integrative data analysis: The simultaneous analysis of multiple data sets. Psychological Methods, 14, 81-100.

Curran, P.J., Hussong, A.M., Cai, L., Huang, W., Chassin, L., Sher, K.J., & Zucker, R.A. (2008). Pooling data from multiple longitudinal studies: The role of item response theory in integrative data analysis. Developmental Psychology, 44, 365-380.

Curran, P.J., & Muthen, B.O. (1999). The application of latent curve analysis to testing developmental theories in intervention research. American Journal of Community Psychology, 27, 567-595.
-->Technical Appendix for Curan & Muthen (1999)

Curran, P.J., Muthen, B.O., & Harford, T.C. (1998). The influence of changes in marital status on developmental trajectories of alcohol use in young adults. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 59, 647-658.

Curran, P.J., Obeidat, K., & Losardo, D. (2010). Twelve frequently asked questions about growth curve modeling. Journal of Cognition and Development, 11, 121-136.

Curran, P.J., Stice, E. & Chassin, L. (1997). The relation between adolescent and peer alcohol use: A longitudinal random coefficients model. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 65, 130-140.

Curran, P.J., West, S.G., & Finch, J. (1996). The robustness of test statistics to non-normality and specification error in confirmatory factor analysis. Psychological Methods, 1, 16-29.

Curran, P.J., and Willoughby, M.J. (2003). Reconciling theoretical and statistical models of developmental processes. Development and Psychopathology, 15, 581-612.

Curran, P.J., and Wirth, R.J. (2004). Inter-individual differences in intra-individual variation: Balancing internal and external validity. Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2, 219-227.

Flora, D.B., & Curran, P.J. (2004). An empirical evaluation of alternative methods of estimation for confirmatory factor analysis with ordinal data. Psychological Methods, 9, 466-491.

Flora, D.B., Curran, P.J., Hussong, A.M., & Edwards, M.C. (2008). Incorporating measurement non-equivalence in a cross-study latent growth curve analysis. Structural Equation Modeling, 15, 676-704.

Hipp, J., Bauer, D.J., Curran, P. J. & Bollen, K. A. (2004). Crimes of opportunity or crimes of emotion: Testing two explanations of seasonal change in crime. Social Forces, 82, 1333-1372.

Hussong, A.M., Cai, L., Curran, P.J., Flora, D.B., Chassin, L., & Zucker, R.A. (2008). Disaggregating the distal, proximal, and time-varying effects of parent alcoholism on children's internalizing symptoms. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 36, 335-346.

Hussong, A. M., Curran, P.J., & Chassin, L. (1998). Pathways of risk for children of alcoholics' accelerated heavy alcohol use. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 26, 453-466.

Hussong, A.M., Curran, P.J., Moffitt, T.E., & Caspi, A. (2008). Testing turning points using latent growth curve models: Competing models of substance abuse and desistance in young adulthood. In P. Cohen (Ed.), Applied data analytic techniques for turning points research (pp. 81-104). New York: Routledge.

Hussong, A.M., Curran, P.J., Moffitt, T.E., Caspi, A., & Carrig, M.M. (2004). Substance abuse hinders desistance in young adults' antisocial behavior. Development and Psychopathology, 16, 1029-1046.

Hussong, A.M., Flora, D.B., Curran, P.J., Chassin, L.A., Zucker, R.A. (2008). Defining risk heterogeneity for internalizing symptoms among children of alcoholic parents. Development and Psychopathology, 20, 165-193.

Hussong, A.M., Hicks, R.E., Levy, S.A., & Curran, P.J. (2001). Specifying the relations between affect and heavy alcohol use among young adults. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 110, 449-461.

Hussong, A.M., Wirth, R.J., Edwards, M.C., Curran, P.J., Zucker, R.A., & Chassin, L.A. (2007). Externalizing symptoms among children of alcoholic parents: Entry points for an antisocial pathway to alcoholism. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 116, 529-542.

Kaplow, J.B., Curran, P.J., Dodge, K., and the Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (2002). Child, parent, and peer predictors of early-onset substance use: A multi-site longitudinal study. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 30, 199-216.
-->Technical Appendix for Kaplow et al. (2002)

Kaplow, J.B., Curran, P.J., & Costello, E.J. (2001). The prospective relation between dimensions of anxiety and the initiation of adolescent alcohol use. Journal of Clinical Child Psychology, 30, 316-326.

McGinley, J.S., & Curran, P.J. (in press). Validity concerns with multiplying ordinal items defined by binned counts: An application to a quantity-frequency measure of alcohol use. Methodology: European Journal of Research Methods for the Behavioral and Social Sciences.
-->Technical Appendix for McGinley & Curran (in press)

Mueser, K., Curran, P.J., and McHugo, G. (1997). Factor structure of the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale in schizophrenia. Psychological Assessment, 9, 196-204.

Muthen, B.O., & Curran, P.J. (1997). General longitudinal modeling of individual differences in experimental designs: A latent variable framework for analysis and power estimation. Psychological Methods, 2, 371-402.
-->Technical Appendix for Muthen & Curran (1997)

Paxton, P., Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Kirby, J., & Chen, F. (2001). Monte Carlo experiments: Design and implementation. Structural Equation Modeling, 8, 287-312.

Preacher, K.J., Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J. (2006). Computational tools for probing interactions in multiple linear regression, multilevel modeling, and latent curve analysis. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 31, 437-448.

Rodebaugh, T.L., Curran, P.J., & Chambless, D.L. (2002). Expectancy of panic in the maintenance of daily anxiety in panic disorder with agoraphobia: A longitudinal test of competing models. Behavior Therapy, 33, 315-336.

Sayers, S., Curran, P.J., & Mueser, K. (1996). Factor structure and construct validity of the Scale for the Assessment of Negative Symptoms. Psychological Assessment, 8, 269-280.

West, S.G., Finch, J.F., & Curran, P.J. (1995). Structural equation models with non-normal variables: Problems and remedies. In R. Hoyle (Ed.), Structural Equation Modeling: Concepts, Issues and Applications, (pp. 56-75). Newbury Park, CA: Sage.

Willoughby, M.T., Curran, P.J., Costello, E.J. & Angold, A. (2000). Implications of early versus late onset of Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder symptomatology. Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 39, 1512-1519.


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