Binomial Distributions of Exit Polling |
| Statistical Topic:
The binomial distribution is a population distribution for a categorical variable that has only two responses. Examples of this type of categorical variable with its two responses are tossing a coin with heads and tails possible, answering a survey question with a yes or no response, determining which way to turn at a stop sign as left and right, etc. An experiment is called a binomial if it has a fixed number of trials, if each trial results in only two mutually exclusive outcomes, if these outcomes are independent and if the probability for each outcome is the same for every trial. This binomial probability distribution can be used to determine the probability for any value of the random variable defined as the number of successes. |
| Student Issue:
Exit polling has been a controversial practice in recent elections since early release of results is thought to affect voters who have not yet voted. Since voters would be asked if they were in favor of banning the release of information before polls closed or not, this categorical variable fits the properties of a binomial experiment. |
Statistical Techniques:
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