Universiteit van Tilburg

Empirical Research In Econometrics

Prof. Jonathan B. Hill (with Prof. Meltem Daysal)

 

Prof. Jonathan B. Hill

    Email: jbhill@email.unc.edu

    Office :

 

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Jump to: Announcements ** STATA Material **  Assignments/Data/Slides

 

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Introduction  The course presents the standard techniques of empirical investigation used in economics with applications in a wide range of fields such as labour economics, savings and consumption, endogenous growth, international finance, empirical macro-economics, etc. Students will learn to do empirical research themselves and to evaluate empirical research that others have done.

 

Course Topics    The following broad topics are typically covered. I will cover A and B and Prof. Daysal will cover C and D. Note that changes may occur during the semester.

 

A.    Standard linear regression model (model formulation and interpretation, estimation and hypothesis testing, goodness of fit, predictions, dummy variables, choice of functional form, omitted variable problems, applications).

 

B.     Generalized Linear Model (heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation).

 

C.     Models with endogenous regressors (instrumental variables estimation, two stage least squares).

 

D.    Maximum likelihood estimation. Binary, ordered, and multinomial choice models.

 

Grading In the first half of the semester there will be 3 assignments worth 5% with blends of econometric theory and practice, involving both problem solving and STATA applications. Additionally, there will be one exam worth 35%.

 

Reading

            There is one required text, and two useful hence recommended texts:

Required:    

Wooldridge, J. (2006). Introduction Econometrics 4e, Online Datasets, Compressed Datasets (master zip file with all Stata files)

Useful:   

Verbeek, M. (2008). A Guide to Modern Econometrics 3e, Online Datasets

Useful:   

Baum, C. F. (2006). An Introduction to Econometrics Using STATA

(depending on you version of STATA, not all commands in this textbook may be valid)

 

First Half of Course      The following is a refined list of topics by lecture, with Wooldridge chapters, for the first 6 weeks of class, covering the first three labs. Together, this material represents what the midterm exam will cover. Note these topics may change as the semester progresses.

 

Go to: Lecture 1, Lecture 2, Lecture 3, Lecture 4, Lecture 5, Lecture 6

Lecture 1 (Tues. Sept. 15)

Multivariate Regression: ordinary least squares

 

Wooldridge Chapt: 2-3  (recommended: Verbeek 2)

Lecture 2 (Tues. Sept. 22)

Multivariate Regression continued: dummy variables, properties of the OLS estimator, goodness-of-fit, confidence intervals and tests

 

Wooldridge Chapt. 4, 7  (recommended: Verbeek 3)

Lab #1 (Wed. Sept. 23)

STATA structure, multivariate regression, testing

Lecture 3 (Tues. Sept. 29)

Multivariate Regression continued: large sample properties of the OLS estimator, multicollinearity, prediction, interpreting the linear model, mis-specifying the regressor set

 

Wooldridge Chapt. 5   (recommended: Verbeek 2)

Lecture 4 (Tues. Oct. 6)

Multivariate Regression continued: selecting regressors, information criteria, comparing nested and non-nested models, testing the functional form (RESET), testing for a structural break (Chow), heteroskedasticity

 

Wooldridge Chapt. 6, 9.1-9.2   (recommended: Verbeek 2)

Lab #2 (Wed. Oct. 7)

functional form, structural breaks

Lecture 5 (Tues. Oct. 13)

Heteroscedasticity: consequences for OLS, robust standard errors (White), Generalized Least Squares, Feasible Generalized Least Squares, proportional heteroscedasticity, group-wise, Heteroscedasticity, testing for heteroscedasticity (White, Breusch-Pagan)

 

Wooldridge Chapt. 8   (recommended: Verbeek 3)

Lab #3 (Wed. Oct. 14)

Heteroscedasticity

Lecture 6 (Tues. Oct. 20)

 

 

 

 

Midterm (Tues. Oct. 20)

Autocorrelation: consequences for OLS, testing for autocorrelation (Q-test), First Order Autocorrelation (GLS, FGLS, Durbin-Watson test)

 

Wooldridge Chapt. 10.1-10.4, 12.1—12.3   (recommended: Verbeek 4)

 

The midterm exam will be given during the second half of this last lecture.

 

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Online Data Sources

 

The following are excellent sources of free on-line data.

 

expbul1a   US Census Bureau

expbul1a   Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

expbul1a   Federal Reserve of Saint Louis: FRED Data Bank

Extensive array of time series data; seasonally adjusted or unadjusted; real or nominal.

expbul1a   National Center for Health Statistics

Maintained by the Center for Disease Control, provides substantial data on

health related topics.

expbul1a   Internal Revenue Service

expbul1a   Bureau of Labor Statistics

                The BLS, a branch of the Dept. of Labor, provides data and research on a variety of labor topics.

expbul1a   Current Population Survey [CPS]

Multiple panels of a wide variety of labor/health statistics.

expbul1a   Econ & financial data links : Business & Economic DataLinks

expbul1a   International Monetary Fund [IMF]: Data bases.

expbul1a   World Bank: Data archives.

expbul1a   Organization of Economic Cooperation and Developement [OECD].

expbul1a   Penn World Table: A large archive of country specific data provided by the University of Pennsylvania.

expbul1a   National Bureau of Economic Research [NBER]   General Data

expbul1a   Eco5.com: Data archive, working papers, forecasts, job markets: omnibus website for economists.

expbul1a   Economagic: Time series data.

 

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Announcements

 

*      Oct. 20: Feel free to email me (jbhill@email.unc.edu) on or after Oct. 23 for your midterms score.

 

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STATA Material

 

STATA Manufacturer’s Website

STATA and Econometrics (helpful guide for this class)

 

 

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Assignments, Answer Keys

 

Slides

Assignments

Datasets

Data Descriptions

Lecture 1

Birth Weights (BWGHT1)

Lecture 2

Wages (WAGE2)

Lecture 3

Sleep (SLEEP75)

Lecture 4

Birth Weights (BWGHT2)

Lecture 5

U.S. Mortality Rates

Mortality Rates

Lecture 6

U.S. GDP

GDP

Credit Expenditure

credit

Output and Inputs

output

 

 

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