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Enst94 Chapel Hill in a "Glass Box" |
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For the sake of creating a workable model for emissions within Chapel Hill, it was important for us to isolate any confounding variables that may skew our data, to the best of our abilities. In this regard, we decided upon the "Glass Box" model for Chapel Hill's carbon release. In this model, an invisible glass box is assumed around the city. Apart from several factors we have specified outside of this box, we are accounting only for the carbon released within this box as a direct result of activities that go on inside the box. Our assumptions for this variable isolation are listed below:
1. Chapel Hill is
responsible for all the CO2 created within its boundaries.
It is not responsible for the CO2 created outside its borders,
including the CO2 emitted during the production of any
goods shipped in for consumption or usage inside the city limits.
The one exception is electricity. We accounted for electricity produced
outside of Chapel Hill, but only the exact amount that is generated for
use within Chapel Hill's borders.
2. All roads and
transportation data only include the roads within the city of Chapel Hill,
as defined by the Chamber of Commerce. The roads are cut off, and
assumed nonexistent, at the city limits of Chapel Hill, even if the road,
as well as the operation of any vehicles, continues outside of this specified
area.
3.
Our definition of Chapel Hill includes a part of the ocean. Since
the mixing ocean is the largest Carbon sink in the world, and since the
amount of Carbon emitted over the ocean is negligible, it is assumed that
each acre of land should be accompanied with its fair share of the world's
oceans. This calculation is completed using the ratio of Chapel Hill's
land area to the total land area of the Earth.
4. Our model also
attributes a portion of the planet's soil to Chapel Hill, since this is
another important Carbon sink. This amount of soil is also calculated
from the ratio of Chapel Hill's land area to the total land area of the
Earth. It is therefore assumed that the carbon sequestering ability
of all the soil in the world is uniform.
5. We assume that
the Carbon sequestering ability of the flora in North Carolina is uniform.
Obviously, a deciduous forest will have a very different sequestering ability
than a coastal wetland, but that is a difference that will be left to the
investigation of future capstone classes. The proportion of flora
attributed to Chapel Hill, along with the net primary productivity of this
flora, was calculated from an average value of the net primary productivity
of North Carolina, multiplied by the surface area of Chapel Hill.
6. We attributed
a certain fraction of the total Carbon released from deep Earth activities
like volcanoes to Chapel Hill. This amount was also calculated using
the proportion of Chapel Hill's land area to the total land area of the
Earth.
7. Specifically
for Chapel Hill's intentions, the contribution of industry to Carbon emissions
is assumed to be zero. The true amount is negligible enough that
we did not include it in our calculations.
8. Our model assumes
that propane is not a significant source of energy for the people of Chapel
Hill. We found that the amount of energy derived from propane is
minimal enough not to be considered in our calculations.
9. The amount of
Carbon released per unit of fuel type was not specifically investigated
by our group. The default values included when Stella was created
were not changed, and therefore are assumed to be the same as they were
in the early 1990's.
10. The ultimate
goal of double the pre-industrial level of CO2 in the atmosphere
was identified by multiplying the default goal of 1160 Billion metric tons
of Carbon by the fraction of Chapel Hill's land area over the total land
area of the Earth. It was then multiplied by 4, so as to account
as well for the atmosphere located directly above the portion of the mixing
ocean which has been allotted to Chapel Hill.
11. This is an ongoing project.
We acknowledge that some of these variables may be investigated further
and reported with more accuracy, but would like to iterate the fact that
we have been working on a limited time schedule, and cannot even attempt
to complete every aspect of the CRed project by ourselves during one semester.
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Last Update: April 12, 2005 |
Karen Kaufman, Bobby O'Connor, Sarah Clark, Maceik Krzysztoforski, Joey Hester |