Mac Mirabile’s NCAA College football betting predictions for week 9

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Week 9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Home

Away

Line

RegLine

SimuLine2

SimuLine4

AllLine

Bet Line

Correct

O/U

RegOU

SimuOU2

SimuOU4

AllOU

Bet OU

Correct

Pick Winner

West Virginia

Syracuse

-16

-8

-23.2

-6.3

-3.8

NOT COVER

 

49

67

47

74

63

OVER

 

 

Louisville

South Florida

-29.5

OFF

OFF

OFF

OFF

NOT COVER

 

OFF

OFF

54

OFF

OFF

OFF

 

 

Colorado State

Wyoming

-4.5

-4

-2.7

-7.2

1.6

NOT COVER

 

46

17

49

25

-4

UNDER

 

 

Tennessee

Alabama

-7

0

-6.8

-3.4

2.8

NOT COVER

 

41.5

34

45

40

43

UNDER

 

 

Mississippi St.

Florida

25

12

22.5

13.1

18.6

COVER

 

49.5

37

48

41

33

UNDER

 

 

Arkansas 

Georgia 

8

5

7.5

5.1

9.0

COVER

 

49.5

31

51

38

19

UNDER

 

 

Ohio State

Indiana

-13.5

-14

-16.9

-16.9

-16.5

COVER

 

45

57

49

64

67

OVER

 

 

Penn State

Iowa

-2.5

-15

5.7

-18.8

-16.5

COVER

 

38.5

43

42

51

57

OVER

 

 

Clemson

Maryland

-3.5

5

-0.8

4.1

5.2

NOT COVER

 

43

62

45

72

57

OVER

 

 

NC State

Miami 

7.5

-1

8.1

0.5

-5.1

COVER

 

44

39

44

43

25

UNDER

 

 

Wisconsin

Northwestern

-12

-20

-15.0

-23.9

-19.4

COVER

 

42

64

45

70

83

OVER

 

 

Pittsburg

Rutgers

-5.5

2

-13.8

-5.4

1.3

NOT COVER

 

47

37

53

42

36

UNDER

 

 

Connecticut

Temple

-18

-38

-18.7

-36.0

-33.9

COVER

 

50

73

50

78

70

OVER

 

 

Texas A&M

Colorado 

-20

-16

-19.3

-19.6

-6.2

NOT COVER

 

47.5

47

50

55

51

UNDER

 

 

Oklahoma

Kansas 

-27

-35

-25.8

-35.0

-28.6

COVER

 

50

65

48

72

73

OVER

 

 

Duke

Virginia

25

15

19.5

12.8

28.6

COVER

 

50

25

50

32

7

UNDER

 

 

Navy

Rice

-9.5

-4

-5.7

-4.5

-5.6

NOT COVER

 

50

67

53

74

59

OVER

 

 

Ohio

Bowling Green

13

15

7.7

15.6

8.6

NOT COVER

 

52

46

51

53

53

UNDER

 

 

Minnesota

Illinois

-17

-6

-17.0

-2.9

-8.0

NOT COVER

 

58.5

43

56

47

53

UNDER

 

 

Kansas St.

Nebraska

-5.5

-11

3.0

-6.7

-11.4

COVER

 

55

75

55

81

76

OVER

 

 

Notre Dame

Boston College

-7

-8

-6.1

-12.0

-2.9

COVER

 

41.5

37

41

45

35

UNDER

 

 

Auburn

Kentucky

-30.5

-41

-32.3

-41.1

-39.1

COVER

 

46

57

47

64

53

OVER

 

 

Air Force

BYU

-2.5

9

-7.0

9.3

10.5

NOT COVER

 

47

50

51

57

36

OVER

 

 

Mid. Ten. State

Idaho

-10

-25

-11.1

-24.2

-35.1

COVER

 

59

58

56

64

51

UNDER

 

 

W. Michigan

N. Illinois

19.5

5

15.8

4.0

10.1

COVER

 

60

59

62

61

55

UNDER

 

 

La Tech

UTEP

-2.5

-4

4.2

-0.6

-2.8

COVER

 

56

47

52

52

58

UNDER

 

 

Baylor

Iowa State

7.5

1

-0.5

0.4

9.2

COVER

 

47

33

48

39

27

UNDER

 

 

Tulane

UAB

18

OFF

OFF

OFF

OFF

COVER

 

OFF

OFF

55

OFF

OFF

OFF

 

 

Wake Forest

Florida State

13.5

12

16.2

11.0

13.7

COVER

 

46

36

48

45

23

UNDER

 

 

Purdue

Michigan

-4

-7

-4.9

-6.1

-12.2

COVER

 

51

30

51

36

40

UNDER

 

 

Missouri

Oklahoma St.

-3.5

-4

-1.7

-3.6

3.2

COVER

 

50.5

32

50

36

28

UNDER

 

 

Arizona St.

UCLA

-8

11

-9.7

12.9

17.4

NOT COVER

 

56

36

51

41

45

UNDER

 

 

Oregon St.

Washington St.

-8

-10

-4.2

-10.8

-8.0

COVER

 

47

34

48

43

39

UNDER

 

 

Marshall

Buffalo

-25

-44

-27.0

-46.0

-47.2

COVER

 

45

70

43

78

78

OVER

 

 

UL-Lafayette

Akransas St.

-3

0

-1.9

-0.2

-20.4

NOT COVER

 

57.5

35

55

41

30

UNDER

 

 

Stanford

Oregon

-4

3

-4.8

2.4

0.5

NOT COVER

 

48.5

32

48

39

35

UNDER

 

 

Akron

Ball State

-10

-2

-0.1

-0.7

5.4

NOT COVER

 

57.5

59

54

65

60

OVER

 

 

New Mexico 

San Diego St.

-5

-4

-1.5

-7.4

-1.6

NOT COVER

 

41

32

42

39

28

UNDER

 

 

Southern Cal

Washington  

-34.5

-60

-32.3

-59.0

-52.8

COVER

 

52

78

46

84

84

OVER

 

 

Arizona 

California

22

14

20.7

13.1

24.7

COVER

 

48

36

48

43

34

UNDER

 

 

Miami Ohio

UCF

-23

-42

-21.9

-37.8

-42.7

COVER

 

56.5

73

58

76

71

OVER

 

 

Toledo

C. Michigan

-25.5

-36

-19.3

-36.8

-37.6

COVER

 

58

40

62

47

42

UNDER

 

 

USM

ECU

-19.5

-6

-22.0

-9.5

-17.5

NOT COVER

 

48

15

48

19

13

UNDER

 

 

TCU

Houston

-6.5

-20

-8.9

-11.5

-23.5

COVER

 

66

78

59

80

78

OVER

 

 

Cincinnati

Memphis

6.5

-1

8.8

-0.6

-9.6

COVER

 

57

42

56

45

42

UNDER

 

 

North Texas

New Mexico St.

-10

-1

-13.5

-2.4

-12.5

NOT COVER

 

51

40

51

46

41

UNDER

 

 

Texas Tech

Texas

1.5

-31

2.5

-23.6

-22.9

COVER

 

60.5

28

52

32

13

UNDER

 

 

Utah

UNLV

-24

-36

-27.3

-37.1

-30.3

COVER

 

49

60

49

65

54

OVER

 

 

LSU

Troy State

-23.5

OFF

OFF

OFF

OFF

NOT COVER

 

OFF

OFF

42

OFF

OFF

OFF

 

 

Boise St.

Fresno St.

-9

-53

-11.1

-47.3

-38.7

COVER

 

62.5

104

60

103

114

OVER

 

 

Nevada

Tulsa

-3

-27

-0.4

-23.2

-24.2

COVER

 

56

39

56

45

46

UNDER

 

 

Hawaii

San Jose State

-22

-33

-22.1

-23.6

-24.7

COVER

 

71.5

43

70

50

41

UNDER

 

 

 

My prediction line and over underline both involve a rather complex analysis of team statistics, winning percentages, streaks, and Associated Press rankings.  The games in red are my personal suggestions where I believe the model has the greatest chance of being correct.  Check back to see how it did.

Last week’s results (overall): 8-9 (71-57)


 

All

Strong

Weak

win

0.5833333

 

 

ou

0.5416667

0.4285714

0.6296296

cover

0.4583333

0.4090909

0.5