Mac Mirabile’s
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This week in the polls About the rankings The ranking is computed by averaging each team’s rank among the 117 Division 1A teams in the following statistical categories: Rushing Offense, Passing Offense, Total Offense, Scoring Offense, Rushing Defense, Pass Efficiency Defense, Total Defense, Scoring Defense, Net Punting, Punt Returns, Kickoff Returns, Turnover Margin, Pass Defense, and Passing Efficiency. Each team is ranked between 1 (best) and 117 (worst) in each category. The rankings are then averaged to compute the raw score. I again compute a second average in which the team’s best and worst categories are eliminated. The second average counts for 4/5 of the ranking, the first average counts for 1/5. Because the raw scores fail to account for the quality of opponent, I have factored in each team’s opponents winning percentage, labeled “schedule” on the left hand table. Additionally this week, I have added a change to show which teams made the biggest jumps from last week. Positive changes greater than 5 spots are blue. Negative changes more than 5 spots are red. Conference Power Rankings
These rankings are computed by averaging the power scores
of all teams within each real conference.
By real conference, I mean conferences where girls are neither
teammates nor opponents. This excludes
the C-USA, Big East, Mountain West, WAC, MAC (because of the strength of play
of the directional Click here to see my computer predictions for this week’s games, organized by point spread and over/under. This is the seventh week my computer model will be tested. Last week, it picked with the spread 6-4 (60%). For the year, my model is 164-108 (60.3%) My model went 7-3 (70.0%) picking winners this week. My model is 204-79 (72.1%) for the year. My personal rankings picking games using the spread this year is: 127-102 (55.5%) Last week: 8-4 (66.7%). I am in the top 1% of all Yahoo handicappers. Interesting note, in the last seven weeks, more than 58.9% of the time the home team covered the spread. |