Appendix Table A.1
Large Sample Estimates
Corresponding to Data Generating Processes in Other Tables
(Sample Size = 100,000)
| OLS | Two Stage | Normal MLE | 2 pt. Factor | 3 pt. Factor | 4 pt. Factor | |
| Table 1 | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 2.248 | 0.995 | 0.997 | 1.401 | 1.053 | 0.997 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 2.269 | 1.005 | 1.054 | 1.350 | 1.048 | 1.047 |
| Table 2 | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 1.917 | 1.042 | 1.047 | 1.274 | 1.069 | 1.054 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 1.938 | 0.954 | 0.929 | 1.304 | 1.037 | 0.958 |
| Table 3 | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 1.641 | 1.007 | 1.007 | 1.194 | 1.024 | 1.007 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 1.589 | 1.006 | 0.967 | 1.150 | 0.991 | 0.968 |
| Table 4 | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 2.942 | 0.951 | 0.997 | 1.859 | 1.218 | 1.042 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 2.982 | 0.974 | 0.895 | 1.859 | 1.274 | 0.970 |
| Table 7(A) | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 2.183 | 1.021 | 1.102 | 1.306 | 1.103 | 1.069 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 1.938 | 1.019 | -0.061 | 1.307 | 1.067 | 0.950 |
| Table 7(B) | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 1.919 | 0.988 | 1.042 | 1.251 | 1.046 | 1.011 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 1.735 | 1.022 | 0.864 | 1.220 | 1.036 | 1.033 |
| Table 7(C) | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 1.641 | 0.974 | 1.028 | 1.128 | 1.018 | 0.996 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 1.508 | 0.998 | 0.970 | 1.122 | 1.017 | 1.011 |
| Table 7(D) | ||||||
| E[d] = 0.50 | 2.925 | 1.054 | 0.548 | 1.534 | 1.325 | 1.243 |
| E[d] = 0.75 | 2.503 | 0.892 | -1.686 | 1.463 | 1.299 | 1.239 |
Skewed Distributions
Error Correlation: 0.33
R2's: 0.20
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.362 | 0.168 | 1.883 | [2.25,2.35,2.48] | 2.064 | 0.188 | 1.167 | [1.93,2.07,2.23] |
| Two Stage | 0.787 | 6.596 | 43.12 | [-3.2,1.05,4.82] | 0.922 | 2.623 | 6.819 | [-.93,0.80,2.55] |
| Normal MLE | 1.889 | 1.898 | 4.356 | [0.12,2.17,3.28] | 0.005 | 1.846 | 4.366 | [-1.2,-.64,0.28] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.328 | 0.366 | 0.240 | [1.08,1.35,1.60] | 1.474 | 0.593 | 0.573 | [1.22,1.35,1.61] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.786 | 0.652 | 0.467 | [0.36,0.87,1.27] | 1.068 | 0.933 | 0.866 | [0.56,0.99,1.25] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.315 | 0.811 | 1.120 | [-.24,0.40,0.86] | 0.754 | 0.917 | 0.892 | [0.27,0.65,1.11] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.272 | 0.110 | 1.630 | [2.20,2.28,2.36] | 2.051 | 0.112 | 1.117 | [1.97,2.05,2.13] |
| Two Stage | 1.028 | 4.208 | 17.53 | [-1.9,0.97,3.91] | 1.052 | 1.699 | 2.861 | [-.15,0.86,2.16] |
| Normal MLE | 1.797 | 1.428 | 2.655 | [0.31,2.16,2.89] | -.455 | 1.274 | 3.723 | [-1.1,-.79,-.43] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.363 | 0.223 | 0.181 | [1.21,1.32,1.55] | 1.320 | 0.173 | 0.132 | [1.20,1.31,1.44] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.873 | 0.463 | 0.229 | [0.56,0.93,1.22] | 0.920 | 0.397 | 0.162 | [0.59,0.99,1.24] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.500 | 0.588 | 0.592 | [0.05,0.55,0.89] | 0.675 | 0.503 | 0.356 | [0.36,0.69,1.11] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.366 | 0.107 | 1.878 | [2.28,2.36,2.43] | 2.037 | 0.115 | 1.089 | [1.96,2.02,2.11] |
| Two Stage | 1.308 | 3.985 | 15.81 | [-1.3,1.59,3.56] | 0.919 | 1.399 | 1.943 | [0.07,0.99,1.88] |
| Normal MLE | 1.841 | 1.258 | 2.274 | [0.80,2.03,2.88] | -.369 | 1.396 | 3.804 | [-1.1,-.84,0.50] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.406 | 0.199 | 0.204 | [1.27,1.42,1.53] | 1.335 | 0.173 | 0.142 | [1.21,1.32,1.48] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.977 | 0.392 | 0.153 | [0.67,1.02,1.26] | 0.961 | 0.369 | 0.136 | [0.72,1.05,1.21] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.676 | 0.535 | 0.389 | [0.26,0.70,1.08] | 0.698 | 0.449 | 0.291 | [0.36,0.74,1.04] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.313 | 0.075 | 1.730 | [2.27,2.31,2.36] | 2.079 | 0.076 | 1.171 | [2.02,2.08,2.14] |
| Two Stage | 1.083 | 2.821 | 7.887 | [-.71,0.83,2.91] | 0.890 | 1.077 | 1.160 | [0.15,0.92,1.68] |
| Normal MLE | 1.482 | 1.319 | 1.955 | [0.22,1.76,2.64] | -.816 | 0.601 | 3.654 | [-1.1,-.89,-.65] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.380 | 0.154 | 0.168 | [1.28,1.39,1.48] | 1.362 | 0.148 | 0.153 | [1.28,1.35,1.46] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.032 | 0.354 | 0.125 | [0.80,1.12,1.28] | 0.976 | 0.339 | 0.114 | [0.71,1.04,1.24] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.700 | 0.413 | 0.259 | [0.40,0.71,0.97] | 0.775 | 0.406 | 0.214 | [0.48,0.84,1.11] |
Skewed Distributions
Error Correlation: 0.33
R2's: 0.20
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.214 | 0.186 | 1.509 | [2.07,2.23,2.35] | 2.028 | 0.158 | 1.080 | [1.92,2.02,2.13] |
| Two Stage | 0.873 | 0.766 | 0.597 | [0.28,0.88,1.45] | 1.110 | 0.908 | 0.828 | [0.53,1.03,1.83] |
| Normal MLE | 0.968 | 0.726 | 0.523 | [0.47,0.93,1.46] | 0.284 | 1.228 | 2.005 | [-.68,0.07,1.17] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.254 | 0.351 | 0.186 | [1.04,1.25,1.47] | 1.329 | 0.268 | 0.179 | [1.14,1.34,1.54] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.831 | 0.487 | 0.264 | [0.48,0.83,1.13] | 0.941 | 0.450 | 0.204 | [0.70,0.93,1.30] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.636 | 0.621 | 0.515 | [0.20,0.62,1.04] | 0.762 | 0.502 | 0.306 | [0.41,0.82,1.17] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.264 | 0.109 | 1.609 | [2.20,2.25,2.34] | 1.990 | 0.119 | 0.994 | [1.92,1.98,2.08] |
| Two Stage | 1.022 | 0.589 | 0.343 | [0.62,1.13,1.42] | 0.927 | 0.582 | 0.340 | [0.51,0.90,1.36] |
| Normal MLE | 1.067 | 0.570 | 0.326 | [0.72,1.09,1.49] | 0.112 | 0.846 | 1.497 | [-.53,-.06,0.43] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.301 | 0.220 | 0.138 | [1.19,1.30,1.46] | 1.305 | 0.207 | 0.136 | [1.15,1.34,1.44] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.906 | 0.399 | 0.166 | [0.66,0.93,1.20] | 0.928 | 0.357 | 0.131 | [0.66,0.97,1.21] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.798 | 0.437 | 0.230 | [0.53,0.82,1.14] | 0.749 | 0.414 | 0.232 | [0.48,0.78,1.06] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.234 | 0.090 | 1.532 | [2.19,2.25,2.30] | 1.953 | 0.092 | 0.917 | [1.88,1.96,2.02] |
| Two Stage | 1.004 | 0.474 | 0.223 | [0.70,1.01,1.31] | 1.016 | 0.518 | 0.266 | [0.67,1.01,1.43] |
| Normal MLE | 1.064 | 0.420 | 0.179 | [0.77,1.07,1.35] | 0.148 | 0.812 | 1.380 | [-.48,-.02,0.39] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.309 | 0.180 | 0.128 | [1.20,1.33,1.43] | 1.279 | 0.144 | 0.098 | [1.19,1.28,1.37] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.018 | 0.287 | 0.082 | [0.80,1.04,1.26] | 0.994 | 0.275 | 0.075 | [0.82,1.02,1.18] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.855 | 0.352 | 0.144 | [0.58,0.92,1.13] | 0.882 | 0.311 | 0.110 | [0.68,0.89,1.10] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.221 | 0.069 | 1.495 | [2.17,2.22,2.27] | 2.019 | 0.073 | 1.044 | [1.97,2.02,2.06] |
| Two Stage | 0.996 | 0.302 | 0.090 | [0.78,1.02,1.21] | 1.034 | 0.367 | 0.135 | [0.74,1.02,1.30] |
| Normal MLE | 1.109 | 0.264 | 0.081 | [0.97,1.11,1.30] | 0.077 | 0.585 | 1.191 | [-.32,-.06,0.34] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.283 | 0.116 | 0.093 | [1.21,1.29,1.37] | 1.311 | 0.113 | 0.110 | [1.22,1.32,1.40] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.992 | 0.209 | 0.043 | [0.85,1.02,1.16] | 1.007 | 0.257 | 0.066 | [0.86,1.01,1.21] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.884 | 0.222 | 0.062 | [0.72,0.89,1.05] | 0.892 | 0.285 | 0.092 | [0.69,0.91,1.13] |
Skewed Distributions
Error Correlation: 0.33
R2's: 0.33
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.889 | 0.114 | 0.803 | [1.82,1.90,1.96] | 1.688 | 0.112 | 0.486 | [1.61,1.70,1.77] |
| Two Stage | 1.002 | 0.405 | 0.162 | [0.70,1.04,1.27] | 0.883 | 0.451 | 0.215 | [0.55,0.86,1.24] |
| Normal MLE | 1.090 | 0.341 | 0.123 | [0.86,1.09,1.34] | 0.715 | 0.557 | 0.388 | [0.30,0.67,1.05] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.175 | 0.213 | 0.075 | [1.00,1.17,1.31] | 1.139 | 0.191 | 0.055 | [1.02,1.14,1.25] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.972 | 0.254 | 0.065 | [0.79,0.97,1.14] | 0.914 | 0.272 | 0.081 | [0.77,0.92,1.10] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.877 | 0.277 | 0.091 | [0.70,0.88,1.08] | 0.803 | 0.307 | 0.132 | [0.64,0.80,1.02] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.863 | 0.092 | 0.753 | [1.79,1.87,1.94] | 1.704 | 0.091 | 0.504 | [1.65,1.70,1.75] |
| Two Stage | 0.956 | 0.270 | 0.074 | [0.75,0.96,1.12] | 0.986 | 0.369 | 0.135 | [0.74,0.95,1.26] |
| Normal MLE | 1.004 | 0.257 | 0.065 | [0.84,1.03,1.16] | 0.847 | 0.421 | 0.198 | [0.54,0.83,1.14] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.179 | 0.148 | 0.054 | [1.08,1.19,1.27] | 1.177 | 0.154 | 0.055 | [1.08,1.17,1.28] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.956 | 0.203 | 0.043 | [0.82,0.95,1.11] | 0.979 | 0.207 | 0.043 | [0.83,0.99,1.13] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.882 | 0.242 | 0.072 | [0.76,0.90,1.03] | 0.890 | 0.237 | 0.068 | [0.74,0.90,1.06] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.912 | 0.072 | 0.837 | [1.87,1.92,1.96] | 1.723 | 0.075 | 0.528 | [1.67,1.73,1.78] |
| Two Stage | 0.957 | 0.227 | 0.053 | [0.81,0.95,1.12] | 1.037 | 0.280 | 0.079 | [0.88,1.06,1.22] |
| Normal MLE | 1.014 | 0.215 | 0.046 | [0.83,1.01,1.20] | 0.822 | 0.387 | 0.180 | [0.54,0.82,1.06] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.198 | 0.117 | 0.053 | [1.11,1.20,1.28] | 1.200 | 0.102 | 0.050 | [1.13,1.20,1.27] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.978 | 0.181 | 0.033 | [0.86,1.00,1.10] | 1.000 | 0.165 | 0.027 | [0.89,1.02,1.13] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.909 | 0.185 | 0.042 | [0.78,0.91,1.04] | 0.939 | 0.184 | 0.037 | [0.82,0.95,1.08] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.884 | 0.050 | 0.784 | [1.85,1.88,1.92] | 1.741 | 0.052 | 0.552 | [1.70,1.74,1.78] |
| Two Stage | 0.997 | 0.182 | 0.032 | [0.89,0.99,1.12] | 0.973 | 0.242 | 0.059 | [0.82,0.94,1.16] |
| Normal MLE | 1.044 | 0.165 | 0.029 | [0.95,1.03,1.15] | 0.804 | 0.300 | 0.128 | [0.58,0.80,1.04] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.207 | 0.091 | 0.051 | [1.15,1.20,1.25] | 1.208 | 0.092 | 0.052 | [1.15,1.21,1.27] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.025 | 0.131 | 0.017 | [0.95,1.02,1.11] | 1.011 | 0.141 | 0.020 | [0.93,1.01,1.11] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.970 | 0.148 | 0.023 | [0.88,0.96,1.06] | 0.942 | 0.176 | 0.034 | [0.83,0.96,1.05] |
Skewed Distributions
Error Correlation: 0.33
R2's: 0.50
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.596 | 0.095 | 0.364 | [1.53,1.60,1.67] | 1.522 | 0.092 | 0.281 | [1.45,1.53,1.59] |
| Two Stage | 1.000 | 0.244 | 0.059 | [0.84,0.98,1.13] | 1.042 | 0.274 | 0.076 | [0.85,1.03,1.23] |
| Normal MLE | 1.023 | 0.215 | 0.046 | [0.87,1.03,1.15] | 1.032 | 0.294 | 0.087 | [0.86,1.02,1.23] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.109 | 0.169 | 0.040 | [1.01,1.10,1.20] | 1.159 | 0.161 | 0.051 | [1.06,1.17,1.26] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.981 | 0.191 | 0.037 | [0.87,0.99,1.12] | 1.010 | 0.203 | 0.041 | [0.87,1.02,1.15] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.921 | 0.219 | 0.054 | [0.76,0.91,1.05] | 0.964 | 0.218 | 0.048 | [0.81,0.96,1.12] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.633 | 0.061 | 0.405 | [1.59,1.64,1.67] | 1.479 | 0.060 | 0.233 | [1.44,1.47,1.53] |
| Two Stage | 1.052 | 0.185 | 0.037 | [0.92,1.03,1.17] | 0.969 | 0.165 | 0.028 | [0.86,0.96,1.10] |
| Normal MLE | 1.073 | 0.147 | 0.027 | [0.96,1.06,1.16] | 0.943 | 0.170 | 0.032 | [0.83,0.96,1.07] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.145 | 0.105 | 0.032 | [1.07,1.13,1.22] | 1.117 | 0.086 | 0.021 | [1.07,1.11,1.17] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.023 | 0.120 | 0.015 | [0.94,1.03,1.11] | 0.993 | 0.123 | 0.015 | [0.91,0.99,1.08] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.988 | 0.134 | 0.018 | [0.88,0.98,1.08] | 0.955 | 0.143 | 0.022 | [0.86,0.96,1.07] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.648 | 0.053 | 0.423 | [1.61,1.65,1.69] | 1.526 | 0.053 | 0.280 | [1.49,1.52,1.57] |
| Two Stage | 1.012 | 0.133 | 0.018 | [0.93,1.01,1.09] | 0.985 | 0.167 | 0.028 | [0.85,0.98,1.10] |
| Normal MLE | 1.046 | 0.120 | 0.016 | [0.98,1.04,1.12] | 0.966 | 0.167 | 0.029 | [0.84,0.96,1.08] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.142 | 0.079 | 0.026 | [1.09,1.14,1.19] | 1.129 | 0.086 | 0.024 | [1.07,1.12,1.19] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.026 | 0.103 | 0.011 | [0.97,1.02,1.10] | 0.991 | 0.125 | 0.016 | [0.90,1.00,1.09] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.981 | 0.107 | 0.012 | [0.90,0.98,1.06] | 0.954 | 0.134 | 0.020 | [0.86,0.95,1.04] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.638 | 0.039 | 0.408 | [1.61,1.64,1.66] | 1.505 | 0.040 | 0.257 | [1.48,1.51,1.53] |
| Two Stage | 0.995 | 0.107 | 0.011 | [0.92,1.01,1.06] | 0.994 | 0.123 | 0.015 | [0.91,0.98,1.08] |
| Normal MLE | 1.041 | 0.093 | 0.010 | [0.97,1.05,1.11] | 0.961 | 0.139 | 0.021 | [0.85,0.96,1.06] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.131 | 0.062 | 0.021 | [1.09,1.13,1.18] | 1.133 | 0.061 | 0.021 | [1.09,1.13,1.18] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.019 | 0.077 | 0.006 | [0.97,1.02,1.07] | 1.007 | 0.098 | 0.010 | [0.93,1.00,1.09] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.985 | 0.083 | 0.007 | [0.92,0.99,1.06] | 0.976 | 0.102 | 0.011 | [0.89,0.97,1.05] |
Skewed Distributions
Error Correlation: 0.50
R2's: 0.20
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.850 | 0.136 | 3.441 | [2.77,2.84,2.94] | 2.616 | 0.172 | 2.639 | [2.50,2.62,2.74] |
| Two Stage | 1.038 | 0.717 | 0.510 | [0.60,1.01,1.54] | 0.933 | 1.059 | 1.114 | [0.30,0.93,1.53] |
| Normal MLE | 0.332 | 0.889 | 1.228 | [-.37,0.28,1.02] | -1.86 | 0.268 | 8.277 | [-2.1,-1.9,-1.6] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.516 | 0.138 | 0.285 | [1.41,1.54,1.62] | 1.509 | 0.157 | 0.284 | [1.41,1.53,1.61] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.289 | 0.158 | 0.109 | [1.18,1.29,1.41] | 1.298 | 0.171 | 0.118 | [1.16,1.30,1.42] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 1.177 | 0.170 | 0.060 | [1.06.1.17,1.31] | 1.148 | 0.206 | 0.064 | [1.02,1.20,1.31] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.829 | 0.112 | 3.357 | [2.76,2.82,2.89] | 2.468 | 0.099 | 2.166 | [2.41,2.48,2.53] |
| Two Stage | 1.014 | 0.489 | 0.237 | [0.70,0.98,1.31] | 1.009 | 0.645 | 0.412 | [0.64,1.00,1.48] |
| Normal MLE | 0.205 | 0.656 | 1.059 | [-.30,0.07,0.65] | -1.791 | 0.163 | 7.814 | [-1.9,-1.8,-1.7] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.511 | 0.111 | 0.274 | [1.43,1.52,1.60] | 1.446 | 0.104 | 0.210 | [1.36,1.45,1.51] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.291 | 0.117 | 0.098 | [1.19,1.30,1.38] | 1.263 | 0.109 | 0.081 | [1.19,1.26,1.33] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 1.199 | 0.134 | 0.057 | [1.10,1.20,1.30] | 1.163 | 0.124 | 0.042 | [1.08,1.17,1.24] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.825 | 0.092 | 3.338 | [2.76,2.82,2.90] | 2.525 | 0.082 | 2.331 | [2.45,2.53,2.57] |
| Two Stage | 1.002 | 0.441 | 0.192 | [0.68,1.03,1.33] | 0.995 | 0.542 | 0.291 | [0.64,0.96,1.41] |
| Normal MLE | 0.126 | 0.494 | 1.005 | [-.23,0.01,0.41] | -1.82 | 0.152 | 7.984 | [-1.9,-1.8,-1.7] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.496 | 0.081 | 0.252 | [1.44,1.49,1.55] | 1.453 | 0.093 | 0.214 | [1.39,1.45,1.51] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.285 | 0.091 | 0.089 | [1.22,1.29,1.35] | 1.274 | 0.098 | 0.084 | [1.20,1.27,1.34] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 1.197 | 0.105 | 0.050 | [1.13,1.19,1.28] | 1.195 | 0.109 | 0.050 | [1.12,1.19,1.27] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 2.873 | 0.078 | 3.515 | [2.83,2.88,2.92] | 2.458 | 0.061 | 2.128 | [2.41,2.46,2.49] |
| Two Stage | 1.031 | 0.328 | 0.107 | [0.79,1.03,1.23] | 0.991 | 0.432 | 0.185 | [0.69,0.99,1.32] |
| Normal MLE | 0.364 | 0.401 | 0.563 | [0.10,0.34,0.63] | -1.71 | 0.113 | 7.383 | [-1.8,-1.7,-1.6] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.527 | 0.070 | 0.283 | [1.48,1.53,1.57] | 1.448 | 0.069 | 0.206 | [1.40,1.45,1.50] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.299 | 0.076 | 0.095 | [1.25,1.30,1.34] | 1.271 | 0.076 | 0.079 | [1.22,1.28,1.33] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 1.219 | 0.074 | 0.053 | [1.17,1.22,1.26] | 1.205 | 0.080 | 0.048 | [1.16,1.20,1.26] |
Normal Distributions
Error Correlation: 0.00
R2's: 0.20
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.994 | 0.144 | 0.021 | [0.89,0.98,1.10] | 1.021 | 0.172 | 0.030 | [0.90,1.04,1.13] |
| Two Stage | 1.138 | 0.832 | 0.704 | [0.63,1.07,1.64] | 1.051 | 0.921 | 0.842 | [0.30,1.03,1.71] |
| Normal MLE | 1.131 | 0.828 | 0.695 | [0.66,1.11,1.73] | 0.998 | 0.948 | 0.890 | [0.22,0.93,1.81] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.095 | 0.653 | 0.432 | [0.63,1.06,1.59] | 0.927 | 0.733 | 0.537 | [0.50,0.83,1.39] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.081 | 0.907 | 0.822 | [0.40,1.06,1.82] | 0.839 | 0.956 | 0.930 | [0.07,0.79,1.71] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 1.048 | 0.946 | 0.889 | [0.31,1.11,1.80] | 0.965 | 0.993 | 0.977 | [0.21,0.99,1.71] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.997 | 0.101 | 0.010 | [0.93,1.00,1.06] | 1.012 | 0.108 | 0.012 | [0.93,1.00,1.09] |
| Two Stage | 1.018 | 0.465 | 0.215 | [0.65,1.06,1.26] | 1.072 | 0.634 | 0.403 | [0.58,1.06,1.55] |
| Normal MLE | 1.006 | 0.455 | 0.205 | [0.72,1.03,1.26] | 0.057 | 0.613 | 0.375 | [0.65,1.07,1.52] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 0.964 | 0.398 | 0.158 | [0.73,1.03,1.19] | 1.023 | 0.492 | 0.240 | [0.72,1.03,1.38] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.878 | 0.526 | 0.289 | [0.51,0.86,1.21] | 0.996 | 0.714 | 0.505 | [0.40,1.04,1.47] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.897 | 0.513 | 0.271 | [0.55,0.88,1.26] | 1.010 | 0.746 | 0.551 | [0.49,1.02,1.51] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.990 | 0.087 | 0.008 | [0.94,0.99,1.04] | 1.000 | 0.096 | 0.009 | [0.93,1.00,1.07] |
| Two Stage | 1.000 | 0.387 | 0.148 | [0.71,0.91,1.30] | 1.007 | 0.564 | 0.315 | [0.68,0.96,1.36] |
| Normal MLE | 0.985 | 0.394 | 0.154 | [0.70,0.94,1.25] | 1.016 | 0.483 | 0.231 | [0.70,1.00,1.34] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 0.964 | 0.400 | 0.160 | [0.71,0.94,1.20] | 0.950 | 0.404 | 0.164 | [0.66,0.99,1.24] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.944 | 0.445 | 0.199 | [0.58,0.92,1.28] | 0.930 | 0.543 | 0.297 | [0.50,0.92,1.34] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.920 | 0.466 | 0.221 | [0.58,0.87,1.21] | 0.978 | 0.559 | 0.310 | [0.62,0.99,1.36] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.999 | 0.066 | 0.004 | [0.95,1.00,1.05] | 0.986 | 0.081 | 0.007 | [0.93,1.00,1.05] |
| Two Stage | 0.977 | 0.316 | 0.099 | [0.75,0.98,1.20] | 1.006 | 0.461 | 0.210 | [0.71,1.02,1.29] |
| Normal MLE | 0.969 | 0.316 | 0.100 | [0.75,0.98,1.18] | 1.011 | 0.428 | 0.181 | [0.70,1.05,1.28] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 0.990 | 0.283 | 0.080 | [0.85,1.01,1.15] | 1.026 | 0.374 | 0.139 | [0.81,1.04,1.24] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.970 | 0.364 | 0.132 | [0.72,1.00,1.22] | 1.008 | 0.504 | 0.251 | [0.69,1.07,1.37] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.951 | 0.364 | 0.133 | [0.71,0.97,1.23] | 1.009 | 0.493 | 0.241 | [0.67,1.02,1.34] |
Skewed Distribution in Probit
Error Correlation: 0.33
R2's: 0.20
| ----------------- E[d] = 0.50 ------------------ | ------------------ E[d] = 0.75 ----------------- |
| Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] |
Mean | Standard
Deviation |
MSE | Quartiles
[25,50,75] | |
| n = 1,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.986 | 0.199 | 0.039 | [0.84,0.98,1.10] | 0.967 | 0.179 | 0.033 | [0.85,0.97,1.08] |
| Two Stage | 1.106 | 0.659 | 0.442 | [0.62,1.07,1.63] | 0.971 | 0.821 | 0.668 | [0.53,0.98,1.56] |
| Normal MLE | 1.122 | 0.610 | 0.384 | [0.67,1.17,1.56] | 1.015 | 0.702 | 0.488 | [0.52,1.04,1.50] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.093 | 0.624 | 0.394 | [0.73,1.07,1.42] | 0.923 | 0.522 | 0.275 | [0.69,0.94,1.22] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.087 | 0.761 | 0.580 | [0.51,1.10,1.65] | 0.657 | 0.777 | 0.716 | [0.09,0.69,1.22] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.927 | 0.760 | 0.576 | [0.41,0.91,1.48] | 0.588 | 0.786 | 0.781 | [0.09,0.55,1.02] |
| n = 2,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 1.001 | 0.112 | 0.012 | [0.94,1.00,1.08] | 1.014 | 0.120 | 0.015 | [0.91,1.01,1.10] |
| Two Stage | 1.018 | 0.556 | 0.306 | [0.62,0.99,1.24] | 1.013 | 0.526 | 0.274 | [0.60,0.98,1.33] |
| Normal MLE | 1.009 | 0.542 | 0.291 | [0.65,0.98,1.28] | 0.991 | 0.555 | 0.305 | [0.66,1.04,1.37] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.008 | 0.463 | 0.213 | [0.71,0.97,1.32] | 1.032 | 0.492 | 0.241 | [0.65,1.04,1.35] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.960 | 0.588 | 0.344 | [0.55,0.89,1.40] | 0.978 | 0.647 | 0.415 | [0.49,0.98,1.47] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.940 | 0.627 | 0.392 | [0.48,0.90,1.37] | 0.948 | 0.642 | 0.411 | [0.47,0.88,1.41] |
| n = 3,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.981 | 0.103 | 0.011 | [0.91,0.99,1.05] | 0.996 | 0.097 | 0.009 | [0.95,1.00,1.06] |
| Two Stage | 1.020 | 0.395 | 0.155 | [0.79,1.04,1.26] | 0.926 | 0.481 | 0.235 | [0.66,0.97,1.25] |
| Normal MLE | 1.036 | 0.372 | 0.138 | [0.78,1.05,1.29] | 0.978 | 0.441 | 0.193 | [0.75,0.97,1.28] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 1.019 | 0.345 | 0.118 | [0.77,1.03,1.24] | 0.964 | 0.401 | 0.160 | [0.69,1.00,1.20] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 1.042 | 0.457 | 0.208 | [0.72,1.08,1.34] | 0.976 | 0.512 | 0.260 | [0.62,1.05,1.29] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 1.002 | 0.478 | 0.226 | [0.68,0.99,1.33] | 0.972 | 0.520 | 0.269 | [0.59,0.99,1.36] |
| n = 5,000 | ||||||||
| OLS | 0.979 | 0.078 | 0.006 | [0.92,0.98,1.03] | 1.015 | 0.079 | 0.006 | [0.95,1.01,1.07] |
| Two Stage | 0.968 | 0.360 | 0.130 | [0.70,0.96,1.21] | 0.962 | 0.344 | 0.118 | [0.72,0.98,1.18] |
| Normal MLE | 0.968 | 0.365 | 0.133 | [0.73,0.98,1.21] | 0.962 | 0.313 | 0.099 | [0.73,0.95,1.18] |
| 2 pt. Factor | 0.974 | 0.318 | 0.101 | [0.77,0.96,1.21] | 0.982 | 0.277 | 0.076 | [0.85,0.99,1.13] |
| 3 pt. Factor | 0.959 | 0.404 | 0.163 | [0.67,0.94,1.23] | 0.848 | 0.295 | 0.109 | [0.66,0.83,1.00] |
| 4 pt. Factor | 0.943 | 0.412 | 0.171 | [0.67,0.93,1.23] | 0.823 | 0.322 | 0.134 | [0.63,0.82,0.99] |