Generous Motors wants to study the effect of seven variables they suspect may affect their new car performance. In the past they have used the traditional "Change one thing at a time" approach. This time they will try a designed experiment. The seven variables are called INPUT FACTORS. GM chooses two values (called LEVELS) for each factor, and codes them 0 or 1. The car performance will be based on two OUTPUTS: 1. Does the engine "ping"? 2. Miles per gallon at 55 mph INPUT FACTORS CODED LEVELS 0 1 A Tune up Before After B Gas type Regular Ethyl C Tire pressure 25 PSI 35 PSI D Air conditioner Off On E Lights Off On F Altitude 0-2000' 5000-8000' G Driver Joan Mike This plan requires only 8 tests to evaluate all 7 factors. Here are the test plan and the results of the tests. INPUT FACTORS OUTPUTS A B C D E F G PING MPG Test #1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Yes 20 Test #2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 Yes 20 Test #3 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 No 25 Test #4 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 No 19 Test #5 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 Yes 27 Test #6 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 Yes 27 Test #7 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 No 28 Test #8 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 No 22 Assignment: (a) How many times does each level of each factor occur in the experiment? How many times does each combination of two factors occur in the experiment? Check for all combinations involving factor A; the results are similar for other factors. The conclusion from (a) is that the effect of each factor is just the difference of averages computed separately for the observations where the factor is set to 1, and the observations where the factor is set to 0. That is, the effects of all other factors cancel each other due to the symmetry of the design. (b) What are the factors that affect pinging of the car? (c) Is there any difference in driving habits of the two drivers indicated by different gas consumption? (d) Does turning the A/C on decrease mileage per gallon? If yes, by how much? (e) How many times does each combination of three factors occur in the experiment? Check the combinations involving A and B. You'll find that not every combination is present. The fact that the combination AB=00 occurs only together with C=0 means that you won't be able to distinguish the effect of changing from AB=00 to another combination of levels of A and B, from the effect of changing C=0 to C=1. Thus, the interaction AB is confounded with factor C. As was mentioned in class, the trade-off for a smaller design is that one cannot estimate (some of) the interactions, such as "what is the combined effect of tune-up and a different gas type?" (AB). What are the meanings of interactions DE and CF? What are those interactions confounded with? (Example due to M. Johnson)